Brisbane vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2024
Last updated: May 18, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: May 12, 2024, 11:58AM
Brisbane will take on Richmond in AFL Round 10 action at The Gabba on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Brisbane vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Brisbane vs Richmond
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Brisbane-Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 92% chance of winning against the Tigers at The Gabba.
More: Brisbane vs Richmond Match Centre
Brisbane vs Richmond: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.09, Richmond $11.50
- Line: Brisbane -47.5 ($2.02), Richmond +47.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.97, Under $1.80
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.09 and Richmond at $11.50.
The Lions are 47.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $2.02 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Tigers (+47.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for Brisbane vs Richmond has been set at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.97 and odds for the Under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+47.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the 168.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024
Brisbane vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $11.50 with Betfair
- Line: Richmond +47.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (63% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $1.97 with Betfair (51% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Brisbane vs Richmond predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Brisbane vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Richmond at The Gabba this Saturday has Brisbane winning 103-65.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Brisbane vs Richmond on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Brisbane vs Richmond: Goal Scorers
Looking for Brisbane vs Richmond goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Richmond.
Daniher has a 10.5% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has a 95.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 10.5% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 8.2% probability
- Logan Morris: 6.2% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.7% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 3.9% probability
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 5.4% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 4.5% probability
- Dustin Martin: 4.3% probability
- Matthew Coulthard: 2.8% probability
- Noah Balta: 2.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 95.2% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 89.2% probability
- Logan Morris: 83.7% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 79.7% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 65.9% probability
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 76.9% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 74.1% probability
- Dustin Martin: 70.6% probability
- Matthew Coulthard: 49.8% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 48.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Richmond match at The Gabba.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Brisbane vs Richmond: Preview
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Lions and Tigers at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Brisbane vs Richmond predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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