Brisbane vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2024
Last updated: Jul 21, 2024, 3:02AM | Published: Jul 15, 2024, 2:07AM
Brisbane will take on Sydney in AFL Round 19 action at The Gabba on Sunday, starting at 1:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Brisbane vs Sydney game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Brisbane vs Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 52% chance of beating the Swans at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Sydney: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.88, Sydney $2.12
- Line: Brisbane -3.5 ($2.04), Sydney +3.5 ($1.89)
- Total (Over/Under 183.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.88 and Sydney at $2.12.
The Lions are 3.5-point favourites against the Swans, with odds of $2.04 available at Betfair.
For the underdog Swans (+3.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $1.89.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 183.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.98 for the over and $2.00 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Swans (+3.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 183.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 62% of the time.
Brisbane vs Sydney: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Sydney at $2.12 with Betfair (0.9% edge)
- Line: Brisbane -3.5 at $2.04 with Betfair
- Total Points: Under 183.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Brisbane vs Sydney betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
And while the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Swans to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Even though the Swans are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lions -3.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Brisbane vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Sydney at The Gabba this Sunday is Brisbane winning 89-87.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Sydney match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Brisbane vs Sydney: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Brisbane vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Sydney.
Daniher has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has an 89.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 7.3% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 6.0% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.5% probability
- Cam Rayner: 4.4% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 4.0% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 5.6% probability
- Logan McDonald: 5.3% probability
- Joel Amartey: 5.2% probability
- Chad Warner: 4.1% probability
- Will Hayward: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 89.4% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 86.5% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 82.6% probability
- Cam Rayner: 73.1% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 71.2% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 81.5% probability
- Joel Amartey: 79.2% probability
- Logan McDonald: 77.4% probability
- Will Hayward: 70.7% probability
- Chad Warner: 70.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Sydney game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Sydney: Essential Details
The AFL Round 19 clash between the Lions and Swans at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Brisbane vs Sydney predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
