Broncos vs Dragons Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 3, 2023
Mar 12, 2023, 8:01AM
The Broncos play the Dragons in NRL Round 3 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Broncos vs Dragons, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Broncos vs Dragons
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Brisbane-St George Illawarra NRL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 72% chance of defeating the Dragons at Suncorp Stadium.
More: Full Betting Guide for Broncos vs Dragons
Broncos vs Dragons Betting Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.25, Dragons $4.00
- Line: Broncos -11.5 ($1.85), Dragons +11.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Broncos to win at $1.25 and the Dragons to win at $4.00.
The Broncos are 11.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+11.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Broncos vs Dragons sits at 43.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 43.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets for Every NRL Match
Broncos vs Dragons Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dragons at $4.00 with TAB (3.3% edge)
- Line: Dragons +11.5 at $1.95 with TAB (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.90 with TAB (54% probability)
Stats Insider's Broncos vs Dragons betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option because of the 3.3% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the TAB odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Broncos vs Dragons Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Dragons at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday has the Broncos winning 27-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Broncos vs St George on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Broncos vs Dragons Try Scorers
Searching for Broncos vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Selwyn Cobbo is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs St George Illawarra.
Cobbo has a 10.6% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 53.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 10.6% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 8.2% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 7.6% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 7.1% probability
- Reece Walsh: 5.3% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 6.3% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 5.1% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.2% probability
- Zac Lomax: 3.9% probability
- Ben Hunt: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 53.1% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 45.2% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 41.9% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 40.1% probability
- Reece Walsh: 32.2% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 38.3% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 29.4% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 27.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 24.0% probability
- Ben Hunt: 21.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Broncos vs Dragons match at Suncorp Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Broncos vs Dragons NRL 2023
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Broncos and Dragons at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Game: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 18 March 2023
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEDT
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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