Broncos vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 19, 2024
Last updated: Jul 13, 2024, 8:44AM | Published: Jul 8, 2024, 9:44AM
The Broncos will sqaure off with the Dragons in NRL Round 19 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 7:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Broncos vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Broncos vs Dragons
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Brisbane-St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 61% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 19 of the 2024 NRL season.
Broncos vs Dragons: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.55, Dragons $2.45
- Line: Broncos -5.5 ($1.90), Dragons +5.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Broncos at $1.55 and the Dragons at $2.45.
The Broncos are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+5.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The over/under for Broncos vs Dragons sits at 50.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.00 and odds for the under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: NRL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Broncos vs Dragons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St George at $2.45
- Line: Dragons +5.5 at $1.90 (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.80 (58% probability)
Today's Broncos vs Dragons best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Broncos vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Dragons at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday has the Broncos winning 25-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Broncos vs St George on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Broncos vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Broncos vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dragons' Mikaele Ravalawa is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs St George Illawarra.
Ravalawa has a 8.6% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Dragons star has a 51.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Corey Oates: 7.7% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 7.5% probability
- Ezra Mam: 7.5% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.4% probability
- Deine Mariner: 5.0% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 8.6% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 6.1% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 4.9% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 3.2% probability
- Raymond Faitala-Mariner: 3.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Corey Oates: 48.0% probability
- Ezra Mam: 47.4% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 46.4% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 37.3% probability
- Deine Mariner: 32.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 51.4% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 41.2% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 34.4% probability
- Raymond Faitala-Mariner: 22.4% probability
- Max Feagai: 22.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Broncos vs Dragons game at Suncorp Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024
Broncos vs Dragons: Preview
The NRL Round 19 clash between the Broncos and Dragons at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 13 July 2024
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Broncos vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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