Broncos vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024
Last updated: Nov 17, 2024, 9:01PM | Published: Nov 10, 2024, 11:21PM
The Denver Broncos will face the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 11 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Monday, beginning at 8:05am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Broncos vs Falcons game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Denver vs Atlanta NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 54% chance of defeating the Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High.
Broncos vs Falcons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Empower Field at Mile High are listed below:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.77, Falcons $2.10
- Line: Broncos -2 ($1.91), Falcons +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.77 and the Falcons at $2.10.
The Broncos are listed as 2-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+2) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Falcons (+2) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Broncos vs Falcons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $2.10 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +2 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Broncos vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 11 is the Broncos winning 22-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Denver vs Atlanta game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Broncos vs Falcons prediction.
Broncos vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs Falcons? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Broncos vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Falcons RB has a 49.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos First TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 10.0% probability
- Audric Estime: 8.2% probability
- Devaughn Vele: 5.8% probability
- Javonte Williams: 4.7% probability
- Bo Nix: 4.4% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 12.6% probability
- Drake London: 9.2% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 6.3% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 5.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 41.0% probability
- Audric Estime: 36.4% probability
- Devaughn Vele: 26.6% probability
- Javonte Williams: 21.9% probability
- Bo Nix: 20.2% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 49.9% probability
- Drake London: 39.2% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 29.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 26.2% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 25.8% probability
Broncos-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 227 passing yards. The Falcons' Kirk Cousins is expected to throw for 233 yards.
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 227 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 233 projected passing yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- Audric Estime: 46 projected yards
- Javonte Williams: 23 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 21 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 73 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 39 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 64 projected yards
- Devaughn Vele: 37 projected yards
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey: 32 projected yards
- Lucas Krull: 25 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 24 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 73 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 52 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 34 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 31 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 27 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Denver vs Atlanta game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Falcons: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Broncos and Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to start at 8:05am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 18 November 2024
- Time: 8:05am AEDT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Atlanta predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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