Broncos vs Panthers: Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2023
May 14, 2023, 11:02PM
The Broncos square off with the favoured Panthers in NRL Round 12 action at Suncorp Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Broncos vs Panthers, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 12, 2023
Who Will Win: Broncos vs Panthers
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Brisbane-Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 68% chance of beating the Broncos in Round 12 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Broncos vs Panthers Simulated 10,000 Times
Broncos vs Panthers: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $3.25, Panthers $1.35
- Line: Broncos +7.5 ($1.95), Panthers -7.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Broncos to win at $3.25 and the Panthers to win at $1.35.
The Broncos are 7.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at TAB.
For the favourite Panthers (-7.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 39.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Broncos (+7.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 39.5-point Over/Under has a 60% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets for Every NRL Match
Broncos vs Panthers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Broncos at $3.25 with TAB (1.4% edge)
- Line: Broncos +7.5 at $1.95 with TAB (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 39.5 at $1.90 with TAB (60% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Broncos vs Panthers best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Panthers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Broncos to win is our recommended option because of the 1.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Broncos vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Panthers at Suncorp Stadium on Thursday has the Panthers winning 25-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Broncos vs Panthers on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Broncos vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Broncos vs Panthers try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Brian To'o is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs Penrith.
To'o has a 8.3% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 43.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 7.5% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 5.8% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 5.7% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 4.5% probability
- Ezra Mam: 3.4% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Brian To'o: 8.3% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 7.4% probability
- Sunia Turuva: 7.2% probability
- Tyrone Peachey: 6.3% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 6.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Selwyn Cobbo: 38.3% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 31.2% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 31.1% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 28.5% probability
- Reece Walsh: 21.0% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Brian To'o: 43.9% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 39.2% probability
- Sunia Turuva: 36.8% probability
- Tyrone Peachey: 33.9% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 33.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Broncos vs Panthers match at Suncorp Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Broncos vs Panthers: Preview
The NRL Round 12 clash between the Broncos and Panthers at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Thursday 18 May 2023
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Broncos vs Panthers have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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