Broncos vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2023

Last updated: Dec 25, 2023, 1:15AM | Published: Dec 19, 2023, 6:07AM

The Denver Broncos will square off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 16 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Monday, commencing at 12:15pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Broncos vs Patriots game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Broncos vs Patriots

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Denver-New England NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos an 80% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Broncos vs Patriots Match Centre

Broncos vs Patriots: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Empower Field at Mile High are shown here:

Head to Head: Broncos $1.29, Patriots $4.30
Line: Broncos -7.5 ($2.12), Patriots +7.5 ($1.87)
Total (Over/Under 36.5 Points): Over $1.83, Under $2.14

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Broncos at $1.29 and the Patriots at $4.30.

The Broncos are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $2.12 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Patriots (+7.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.

The Over/Under for Broncos vs Patriots has been set at 36.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83 and odds for the Under at $2.14.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Broncos and the Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 36.5 points has a 59% chance of going Over.

The best site for placing bets on the Broncos vs Patriots game is Betfair, where you can wager against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Broncos vs Patriots: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Denver at $1.29 with Betfair (80% probability)
Line: Broncos -7.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Over 36.5 at $1.83 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

Our Broncos vs Patriots betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

What could be better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Broncos vs Patriots: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Patriots at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 16 has the Broncos prevailing 23-15.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Denver vs New England in Week 16, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Broncos vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Broncos vs Patriots? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Denver's Javonte Williams is the most likely player to score the first TD in Broncos vs Patriots.

Williams has a 15.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Broncos RB has a 52.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Broncos First TD Tips

Javonte Williams: 15.8% probability
Courtland Sutton: 14.0% probability
Jerry Jeudy: 7.5% probability
Russell Wilson: 5.4% probability
Adam Trautman: 3.5% probability

Patriots First TD Tips

Ezekiel Elliott: 12.3% probability
Demario Douglas: 6.0% probability
Bailey Zappe: 5.1% probability
DeVante Parker: 4.9% probability
Mike Gesicki: 3.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Broncos Anytime TD Tips

Javonte Williams: 52.7% probability
Courtland Sutton: 47.8% probability
Jerry Jeudy: 29.1% probability
Russell Wilson: 21.0% probability
Adam Trautman: 14.1% probability

Patriots Anytime TD Tips

Ezekiel Elliott: 45.7% probability
Demario Douglas: 25.2% probability
Bailey Zappe: 21.2% probability
DeVante Parker: 20.0% probability
Mike Gesicki: 15.8% probability

Broncos-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Russell Wilson is projected for 218 passing yards. The Patriots' Bailey Zappe is expected to throw for 211 yards.

Broncos Starting QB

Russell Wilson: 218 projected passing yards

Patriots Starting QB

Bailey Zappe: 211 projected passing yards

Broncos Rushing Yards

Javonte Williams: 63 projected yards
Russell Wilson: 24 projected yards
Jaleel McLaughlin: 13 projected yards

Patriots Rushing Yards

Ezekiel Elliott: 63 projected yards
Kevin Harris: 14 projected yards
Bailey Zappe: 10 projected yards

Broncos Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton: 55 projected yards
Jerry Jeudy: 44 projected yards
Marvin Mims: 21 projected yards
Javonte Williams: 18 projected yards
Adam Trautman: 16 projected yards

Patriots Receiving Yards

Demario Douglas: 49 projected yards
DeVante Parker: 48 projected yards
Ezekiel Elliott: 24 projected yards
Pharaoh Brown: 20 projected yards
Mike Gesicki: 16 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Denver vs New England match-up at Empower Field at Mile High.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Broncos vs Patriots: Week 16 Preview

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Broncos and Patriots at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 12:15pm AEDT on Monday.

Teams: Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots
Date: Monday 25 December 2023
Time: 12:15pm AEDT
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Denver vs New England predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.