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Browns vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2023

The Cleveland Browns take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 11 action at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Browns vs Steelers, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Browns vs Steelers

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Cleveland-Pittsburgh NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Browns a 61% chance of winning against the Steelers at Cleveland Browns Stadium.

More: Browns vs Steelers Match Centre

Browns vs Steelers: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Cleveland Browns Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Browns $1.74, Steelers $2.15
  • Line: Browns -2 ($1.91), Steelers +2 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 34 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Browns at $1.74 and the Steelers at $2.15.

The Browns are listed as 2-point favourites against the Steelers, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.

For the underdog Steelers (+2) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 34 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Browns and the Steelers have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 34 points has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Browns vs Steelers: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cleveland at $1.74 with bet365 (61% probability)
  • Line: Steelers +2 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 34 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)

These Browns vs Steelers predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Browns vs Steelers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Browns vs Steelers at Cleveland Browns Stadium in Week 11 has the Browns winning 18-16.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Cleveland vs Pittsburgh in Week 11, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Browns vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs Steelers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Pittsburgh's Najee Harris is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Browns vs Steelers.

Harris has a 9.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Cleveland Browns Stadium, while the Steelers RB has a 34.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Browns First TD Tips

  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 9.4% probability
  • Jerome Ford: 8.8% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 8.5% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 6.9% probability
  • Elijah Moore: 6.1% probability

Steelers First TD Tips

  • Najee Harris: 9.9% probability
  • Jaylen Warren: 9.4% probability
  • George Pickens: 8.4% probability
  • Diontae Johnson: 6.9% probability
  • Pat Freiermuth: 6.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Browns Anytime TD Tips

  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 32.8% probability
  • Jerome Ford: 31.1% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 29.7% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 24.7% probability
  • Elijah Moore: 21.9% probability

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

  • Najee Harris: 34.0% probability
  • Jaylen Warren: 32.6% probability
  • George Pickens: 29.8% probability
  • Diontae Johnson: 25.1% probability
  • Pat Freiermuth: 23.6% probability

Browns-Steelers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Dorian Thompson-Robinson is projected to have a quiet game with 162 passing yards. The Steelers' Kenny Pickett is expected to throw for 173 yards.

Browns Starting QB

  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 162 projected passing yards

Steelers Starting QB

  • Kenny Pickett: 173 projected passing yards

Browns Rushing Yards

  • Jerome Ford: 55 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 42 projected yards
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 24 projected yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

  • Jaylen Warren: 46 projected yards
  • Najee Harris: 45 projected yards
  • Kenny Pickett: 8 projected yards

Browns Receiving Yards

  • Amari Cooper: 65 projected yards
  • David Njoku: 36 projected yards
  • Elijah Moore: 32 projected yards
  • Cedric Tillman: 14 projected yards
  • Jerome Ford: 14 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

  • Diontae Johnson: 48 projected yards
  • George Pickens: 41 projected yards
  • Pat Freiermuth: 37 projected yards
  • Jaylen Warren: 23 projected yards
  • Najee Harris: 14 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh game at Cleveland Browns Stadium.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Browns vs Steelers: Week 11 Preview

The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Browns and Steelers at Cleveland Browns Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Cleveland vs Pittsburgh are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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