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Buccaneers vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 1 action at Raymond James Stadium on Monday, starting at 6:25am AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Buccaneers vs Commanders game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Tampa Bay vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Buccaneers a 64% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 1 of the NFL season.

Buccaneers vs Commanders: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Raymond James Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Buccaneers $1.48, Commanders $2.75
  • Line: Buccaneers -4 ($1.91), Commanders +4 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Buccaneers at $1.48 and the Commanders at $2.75.

The Buccaneers are listed as 4-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Commanders (+4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Buccaneers and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.

Buccaneers vs Commanders: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Washington at $2.75 with Bet365
  • Line: Commanders +4 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
These Buccaneers vs Commanders best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Buccaneers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Buccaneers vs Commanders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Buccaneers vs Commanders at Raymond James Stadium in Week 1 is the Buccaneers prevailing 23-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Tampa Bay vs Washington game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

Buccaneers vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs Commanders? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Rachaad White is the most likely player to score the first TD in Buccaneers vs Commanders.

White has an 11.5% chance of getting in for six first at Raymond James Stadium, while the Buccaneers RB has a 45.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Buccaneers First TD Tips

  • Rachaad White: 11.5% probability
  • Mike Evans: 10.3% probability
  • Chris Godwin: 7.3% probability
  • Cade Otton: 6.2% probability
  • Jalen McMillan: 5.2% probability

Commanders First TD Tips

  • Jayden Daniels: 9.5% probability
  • Brian Robinson: 8.1% probability
  • Austin Ekeler: 6.9% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 6.1% probability
  • Olamide Zaccheaus: 3.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips

  • Rachaad White: 45.5% probability
  • Mike Evans: 42.2% probability
  • Chris Godwin: 29.3% probability
  • Cade Otton: 26.5% probability
  • Jalen McMillan: 22.6% probability

Commanders Anytime TD Tips

  • Jayden Daniels: 39.6% probability
  • Brian Robinson: 34.0% probability
  • Austin Ekeler: 30.4% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 25.4% probability
  • Olamide Zaccheaus: 15.1% probability

Buccaneers-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 255 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 187 yards.

Buccaneers Starting QB

  • Baker Mayfield: 255 projected passing yards

Commanders Starting QB

  • Jayden Daniels: 187 projected passing yards

Buccaneers Rushing Yards

  • Rachaad White: 53 projected yards
  • Bucky Irving: 23 projected yards
  • Baker Mayfield: 12 projected yards

Commanders Rushing Yards

  • Brian Robinson: 51 projected yards
  • Jayden Daniels: 33 projected yards
  • Austin Ekeler: 26 projected yards

Buccaneers Receiving Yards

  • Mike Evans: 60 projected yards
  • Chris Godwin: 59 projected yards
  • Cade Otton: 36 projected yards
  • Jalen McMillan: 35 projected yards
  • Rachaad White: 26 projected yards

Commanders Receiving Yards

  • Terry McLaurin: 62 projected yards
  • Dyami Brown: 25 projected yards
  • Austin Ekeler: 22 projected yards
  • Zach Ertz: 20 projected yards
  • Olamide Zaccheaus: 20 projected yards

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Washington game.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Buccaneers vs Commanders: Week 1 Essential Details

The NFL Week 1 game between the Buccaneers and Commanders at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:25am AEST on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Tampa Bay vs Washington predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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