Buccaneers vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2023

Last updated: Dec 31, 2023, 6:02PM | Published: Dec 26, 2023, 2:01AM

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will square off with the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 17 action at Raymond James Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Buccaneers vs Saints game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Buccaneers vs Saints

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Tampa Bay-New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Buccaneers a 60% chance of beating the Saints in Week 17 of the NFL season.

More: Buccaneers vs Saints Simulated 10K Times

Buccaneers vs Saints: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Raymond James Stadium are shown here:

Head to Head: Buccaneers $1.75, Saints $2.30
Line: Buccaneers -2.5 ($1.93), Saints +2.5 ($2.06)
Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.96

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Buccaneers at $1.75 and the Saints at $2.30.

The Buccaneers are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.93 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Saints (+2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 42.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.02 and odds for the Under at $1.96.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookies have got it right and both the Buccaneers and the Saints have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 42.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.

The best site for placing bets on the Buccaneers vs Saints game is Betfair, where you can bet against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl 2023 Probabilities and Odds

Buccaneers vs Saints: Best Bets

Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $1.75 with Betfair (60% probability)
Line: Saints +2.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Over 42.5 at $2.02 with Betfair

Today's Buccaneers vs Saints best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 42.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.02) that are available from Betfair.

What could be better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Buccaneers vs Saints: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Buccaneers vs Saints at Raymond James Stadium in Week 17 has the Buccaneers winning 22-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Tampa Bay vs New Orleans in Week 17, including pre-game predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.

Buccaneers vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs Saints? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Rachaad White is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs Saints.

White has an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Raymond James Stadium, while the Buccaneers RB has a 44.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Buccaneers First TD Tips

Rachaad White: 11.3% probability
Mike Evans: 11.1% probability
Chris Godwin: 6.9% probability
Baker Mayfield: 6.5% probability
David Moore: 4.5% probability

Saints First TD Tips

Rashid Shaheed: 9.5% probability
Alvin Kamara: 8.8% probability
Chris Olave: 7.6% probability
Juwan Johnson: 5.0% probability
Jamaal Williams: 4.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips

Rachaad White: 44.6% probability
Mike Evans: 43.6% probability
Baker Mayfield: 29.4% probability
Chris Godwin: 29.3% probability
David Moore: 19.8% probability

Saints Anytime TD Tips

Rashid Shaheed: 38.6% probability
Alvin Kamara: 36.4% probability
Chris Olave: 31.7% probability
Juwan Johnson: 22.8% probability
Jamaal Williams: 19.8% probability

Buccaneers-Saints Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 232 passing yards, while the Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 220 yards.

Buccaneers Starting QB

Baker Mayfield: 232 projected passing yards

Saints Starting QB

Derek Carr: 220 projected passing yards

Buccaneers Rushing Yards

Rachaad White: 53 projected yards
Chase Edmonds: 14 projected yards
Baker Mayfield: 13 projected yards

Saints Rushing Yards

Alvin Kamara: 53 projected yards
Jamaal Williams: 22 projected yards
Taysom Hill: 13 projected yards

Buccaneers Receiving Yards

Mike Evans: 70 projected yards
Chris Godwin: 55 projected yards
Rachaad White: 28 projected yards
Cade Otton: 27 projected yards
Trey Palmer: 26 projected yards

Saints Receiving Yards

Chris Olave: 71 projected yards
Rashid Shaheed: 55 projected yards
Alvin Kamara: 32 projected yards
Juwan Johnson: 24 projected yards
Foster Moreau: 24 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs New Orleans match-up at Raymond James Stadium.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Buccaneers vs Saints: Week 17 Preview

The NFL Week 17 match-up between the Buccaneers and Saints at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

Teams: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints
Date: Monday 1 January 2023
Time: 5:00am AEDT
Venue: Raymond James Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Tampa Bay vs New Orleans predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.