Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction and Tips - 18 February 2024

Last updated: Feb 17, 2024, 2:43PM | Published: Feb 6, 2024, 9:31PM

Burnley will play the favoured Arsenal in Premier League action at Turf Moor on Sunday, starting at 2:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Burnley vs Arsenal game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Burnley vs Arsenal

Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Burnley-Arsenal Premier League match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives Burnley a 9.5% chance of winning, Arsenal a 74.2% chance of winning, and the draw a 16.3% chance of occurring.

More: Burnley vs Arsenal Match Centre

Burnley vs Arsenal: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's Premier League clash at Turf Moor are listed below:

Head to Head: Burnley $11.50, Arsenal $1.33, Draw $6.00
Total (Over/Under 2.5 Goals): Over $1.64, Under $2.52

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Burnley at $11.50 and Arsenal at $1.33.

Lastly, Betfair currently has odds of $6.00 for a draw if you think the score will be level after 90 minutes.

The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 2.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.64 and odds for the Under at $2.52.

The best site to place a bet on the Burnley vs Arsenal game is Betfair, where you can wager against other Premier League fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Burnley vs Arsenal: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Burnley at $11.50 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
Total Goals: Under 2.5 at $2.52 with Betfair (0.3% edge)

These Burnley vs Arsenal best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Betting on Burnley to win is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability when punting on sports.

Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.52) that are available from Betfair.

Our Burnley vs Arsenal Lay Bet

What's better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the Premier League? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

After simulating this match-up 10,000 times, we have identified Arsenal to win at $1.30 or shorter as our model's best lay bet in Betfair's Match Odds market, meaning that if the final result is a Burnley win or a draw, you win.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Burnley vs Arsenal: Prediction

Stats Insider has full coverage of Burnley vs Arsenal on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Burnley vs Arsenal match at Turf Moor.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every Premier League match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Burnley vs Arsenal: Preview

The Premier League match-up between Burnley and Arsenal at Turf Moor is scheduled to commence at 2:00am AEDT on Sunday.

Teams: Burnley vs Arsenal
Date: Sunday 18 February 2024
Time: 2:00am AEDT
Venue: Turf Moor (Burnley)

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Burnley vs Arsenal predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our Premier League tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our Premier League predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the Premier League in Australia, with the latest Premier League betting news, tips for every Premier League game, and futures probabilities for the Premier League.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.