Can Port Adelaide Win the 2023 AFL Premiership?
May 29, 2023, 4:48AM
Port Adelaide is the fourth most likely team to win the 2023 AFL premiership.
According to Stats Insider's AFL futures model, after defeating Richmond 77-67 in Round 11, Port Adelaide has a 13.5% chance of winning the 2023 AFL premiership.
Collingwood is Stats Insider's most likely 2023 AFL premiership winner at 23.2%, with Melbourne at 17.6% and Brisbane at 17.4% as the only other teams above the Power.
Port Adelaide's win over Richmond was its eighth consecutive victory, moving the Power to outright second on the AFL ladder and fourth in Betfair's 2023 AFL premiership market at $7.00.
Port Adelaide hosts Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval in Round 12, with the Power boasting the second-highest winning probability of the weekend.
MORE: 2023 AFL Premiership Probabilities
2023 AFL Premiership Probabilities
| Team | Probability |
| Collingwood Magpies | 23.2% |
| Melbourne Demons | 17.6% |
| Brisbane Lions | 17.4% |
| Port Adelaide Power | 13.5% |
| Western Bulldogs | 7.7% |
| Geelong Cats | 5.9% |
| St Kilda Saints | 3.5% |
| Adelaide Crows | 3.2% |
| Essendon Bombers | 2.3% |
All probabilities are correct at the time of publication.
Carlton Drops Down Top 8 Probabilities
Carlton is the 11th most likely team to make the 2023 AFL finals.
After starting the season as the sixth most likely team to make the top eight at 60.5%, Carlton is currently a 25.1% chance of making this year's AFL finals.
The Blues' 55-71 defeat to Sydney in Round 11 was their fourth consecutive loss, leaving them in 14th position on the AFL ladder.
Carlton's next match is against Melbourne at the MCG in Round 12.
(Photo by Robert Cianflone/Getty Images)
