Can the Cowboys Make the 2023 NRL Finals?
Last updated: May 17, 2023, 6:16AM | Published: May 17, 2023, 3:44AM
The Cowboys have increased their probability of making the 2023 NRL finals.
According to Stats Insider's NRL Futures model, after defeating the Dragons 42-22 in Round 11, the Cowboys have a 32.2% chance of making the NRL top eight.
North Queensland's resurgence started with a 14-point win over the Roosters during Magic Round, which was its third win of the season. The subsequent win over the Dragons moved the Cowboys outside of the bottom four and a single win away from the eighth-placed New Zealand Warriors.
The Cowboys are at $4.50 to make the 2023 NRL finals with Sportsbet.
The Cowboys face the bottom-of-the-ladder Tigers in Round 12 of the NRL season.
READ: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 12, 2023
2023 NRL Top 8 Probabilities
| Team | Probability |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 99.5% |
| Penrith Panthers | 95.1% |
| Brisbane Broncos | 93.9% |
| Cronulla Sharks | 90.3% |
| Melbourne Storm | 77.9% |
| Canberra Raiders | 68.5% |
| Sydney Roosters | 64.2% |
| Redcliffe Dolphins | 44.1% |
| New Zealand Warriors | 40.8% |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 32.2% |
All probabilities are correct at the time of publication.
Rabbitohs the Most Likely Premiership Team
The Rabbitohs are the most likely team to win the 2023 NRL premiership.
The Bunnies, who lost two of their opening three games of the season, top Stats Insider's NRL premiership probabilities after South Sydney won five games in a row to top the NRL ladder.
The Rabbitohs also top Stats Insider's NRL minor premiership probabilities at 52.5%.
South Sydney's surge to the top of Stats Insider's NRL premiership probabilities has been mirrored by the bookmakers, with the Rabbitohs currently valued as equal $4 favourites to win the 2023 NRL premiership with the TAB alongside the Panthers.
The Rabbitohs kept the Tigers scoreless in their 20-0 win win in Round 11, a victory that saw South Sydney move to the top of the NRL ladder.
The Rabbitohs' next match is against the bottom-four Eels in Round 12.
(Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)
