Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 22 March 2023

Mar 20, 2023, 7:21PM

The Montreal Canadiens take on the favoured Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Bell Centre on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Canadiens vs Lightning, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Canadiens vs Lightning

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Wednesday's Montreal-Tampa Bay NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 65% chance of winning against the Canadiens at Bell Centre.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Canadiens vs Lightning

Montreal vs Tampa Bay Betting Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NHL game at Bell Centre are shown here:

Head to Head: Canadiens $3.20, Lightning $1.39
Line: Canadiens +1.5 ($1.95), Lightning -1.5 ($1.91)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.87, Under $1.95

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Canadiens to win at $3.20. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Lightning to win at $1.39.

The Canadiens are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Lightning, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at bet365.

For the favourite Lightning (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $1.95.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every NHL Game

Canadiens vs Lightning Betting Tips

Head to Head: Canadiens at $3.20 with bet365 (3.3% edge)
Line: Canadiens +1.5 at $1.95 with bet365 (56% probability) 🔥
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (51% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across all sports.

Stats Insider's Canadiens vs Lightning predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Canadiens to win is our recommended option because of the 3.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Montreal vs Tampa Bay on Wednesday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Canadiens vs Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Canadiens vs Lightning? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is the most likely player to score the first goal in Canadiens vs Lightning.

Kucherov has a 9.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Bell Centre, while the Lightning star has a 45.0% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Canadiens First Goal Scorer Tips

Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 5.6% probability
Nick Suzuki: 4.3% probability
Josh Anderson: 4.0% probability
Mike Hoffman: 3.4% probability
Mike Matheson: 3.0% probability

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 9.2% probability
Brayden Point: 8.5% probability
Steven Stamkos: 7.4% probability
Brandon Hagel: 5.2% probability
Alex Killorn: 4.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Canadiens Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 29.0% probability
Nick Suzuki: 23.4% probability
Josh Anderson: 23.0% probability
Mike Hoffman: 21.0% probability
Denis Gurianov: 18.8% probability

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 45.0% probability
Brayden Point: 41.3% probability
Steven Stamkos: 39.7% probability
Brandon Hagel: 29.2% probability
Alex Killorn: 27.6% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Montreal vs Tampa Bay game at Bell Centre.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Canadiens vs Lightning NHL 2023

The match-up between the Canadiens and Lightning at Bell Centre is scheduled to begin at 10:00am AEDT on Wednesday.

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Wednesday 22 March 2023
Time: 10:00am AEDT
Venue: Bell Centre

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.