Capitals vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Tips - 14 April 2024
Last updated: Apr 13, 2024, 1:16PM | Published: Apr 13, 2024, 11:46AM
The Washington Capitals will face the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Sunday, beginning at 7:30am AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Capitals vs Lightning game, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Capitals vs Lightning
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Washington-Tampa Bay NHL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 55% chance of beating the Capitals at Capital One Arena.
More: Capitals vs Lightning Match Centre
Capitals vs Lightning: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Capital One Arena are listed below:
- Head to Head: Capitals $2.26, Lightning $1.74
- Line: Capitals +1.5 ($1.48), Lightning -1.5 ($2.85)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $2.16, Under $1.77
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Capitals at $2.26 and the Lightning at $1.74.
The Capitals are 1.5-goal underdogs against the Lightning, with odds of $1.48 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Lightning (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.85.
The Over/Under for Capitals vs Lightning sits at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.16 and odds for the Under at $1.77.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Capitals vs Lightning: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.26 with Betfair (0.6% edge)
- Line: Capitals +1.5 at $1.48 with Betfair (67% probability)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.77 with Betfair (55% probability)
These Capitals vs Lightning predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Capitals to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Capitals vs Lightning: Prediction
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Washington vs Tampa Bay on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Capitals vs Lightning: Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Capitals vs Lightning? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Capitals vs Lightning.
Point has an 8.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Lightning star has a 43.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips
- Alex Ovechkin: 5.5% probability
- Max Pacioretty: 4.9% probability
- Tom Wilson: 4.3% probability
- Dylan Strome: 4.2% probability
- Connor McMichael: 4.2% probability
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 8.8% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 7.8% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.2% probability
- Nick Paul: 5.1% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 5.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Alex Ovechkin: 28.8% probability
- Max Pacioretty: 24.4% probability
- Dylan Strome: 24.1% probability
- Tom Wilson: 24.0% probability
- Connor McMichael: 22.9% probability
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 43.8% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 38.3% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 32.3% probability
- Nick Paul: 27.1% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 25.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Tampa Bay match-up at Capital One Arena.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Capitals vs Lightning: Preview
The match-up between the Capitals and Lightning at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Sunday 14 April 2024
- Time: 7:30am AEST
- Venue: Capital One Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Washington vs Tampa Bay predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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