Capitals vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Tips - 24 December 2023
Last updated: Dec 24, 2023, 12:09AM | Published: Dec 23, 2023, 12:46AM
The Washington Capitals will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Sunday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Capitals vs Lightning game, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Capitals vs Lightning
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Washington-Tampa Bay NHL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 56% chance of winning against the Capitals at Capital One Arena.
More: Capitals vs Lightning Simulated 10K Times
Capitals vs Lightning: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Capital One Arena are listed here:
- Head to Head: Capitals $2.36, Lightning $1.73
- Line: Capitals +1.5 ($1.53), Lightning -1.5 ($2.79)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $2.10, Under $1.85
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Capitals at $2.36 and the Lightning at $1.73.
The Capitals are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Lightning, with odds of $1.53 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Lightning (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.79.
The Over/Under for Capitals vs Lightning is set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
The best site for placing bets on the Capitals vs Lightning game is Betfair, where you can wager against other NHL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Capitals vs Lightning: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.36 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Capitals +1.5 at $1.53 with Betfair (66% probability)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.85 with Betfair (54% probability)
Our Capitals vs Lightning best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Capitals to win is our recommended option because of the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
What's better than using one of the world's top predictive analytics models to bet on the NHL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.
Join Betfair today to get even more out of Stats Insider's data.
Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.
Capitals vs Lightning: Prediction
Stats Insider has full coverage of Washington vs Tampa Bay on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, free tips, and live win probabilities.
Capitals vs Lightning: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Capitals vs Lightning? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Capitals vs Lightning.
Point has a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Lightning star has a 41.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips
- Alex Ovechkin: 7.3% probability
- Tom Wilson: 5.6% probability
- Dylan Strome: 5.5% probability
- Nic Dowd: 4.0% probability
- Evgeny Kuznetsov: 3.8% probability
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 9.4% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.9% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 6.3% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 5.1% probability
- Nick Paul: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Alex Ovechkin: 36.9% probability
- Dylan Strome: 29.9% probability
- Tom Wilson: 27.9% probability
- Nic Dowd: 21.3% probability
- Anthony Mantha: 20.4% probability
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 41.3% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 36.2% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 33.9% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 29.1% probability
- Nick Paul: 24.1% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Tampa Bay game at Capital One Arena.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Capitals vs Lightning: Preview
The game between the Capitals and Lightning at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Sunday 24 December 2023
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Washington vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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