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Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Tips - 21 March 2024

The Washington Capitals will sqaure off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Thursday, beginning at 10:30am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Capitals vs Maple Leafs game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Capitals vs Maple Leafs

Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Washington-Toronto NHL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of beating the Capitals at Capital One Arena.

More: Capitals vs Maple Leafs Simulated 10,000 Times

Capitals vs Maple Leafs: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NHL game at Capital One Arena are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Capitals $2.20, Maple Leafs $1.81
  • Line: Capitals +1.5 ($1.45), Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.90)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $2.10, Under $1.78

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Capitals at $2.20 and the Maple Leafs at $1.81.

The Capitals are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $1.45 currently available at Betfair.

For the favourite Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.90.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.78.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Capitals vs Maple Leafs: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Toronto at $1.81 with Betfair (56% probability)
  • Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 at $2.90 with Betfair (0.9% edge)
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.78 with Betfair (55% probability)

Today's Capitals vs Maple Leafs predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice every time.

Even though the Capitals are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Capitals vs Maple Leafs: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Washington vs Toronto on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Capitals vs Maple Leafs: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Capitals vs Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Capitals vs Maple Leafs.

Matthews has a 12.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 50.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Hendrix Lapierre: 5.7% probability
  • Alex Ovechkin: 4.9% probability
  • T.J. Oshie: 4.7% probability
  • Max Pacioretty: 3.7% probability
  • Dylan Strome: 3.6% probability

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Auston Matthews: 12.1% probability
  • William Nylander: 6.8% probability
  • Bobby McMann: 5.5% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.2% probability
  • John Tavares: 4.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Hendrix Lapierre: 28.3% probability
  • Alex Ovechkin: 25.4% probability
  • T.J. Oshie: 23.8% probability
  • Max Pacioretty: 21.3% probability
  • Dylan Strome: 20.2% probability

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Auston Matthews: 50.8% probability
  • William Nylander: 35.2% probability
  • John Tavares: 29.6% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 28.8% probability
  • Bobby McMann: 28.6% probability

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Toronto game at Capital One Arena.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Capitals vs Maple Leafs: Preview

The match-up between the Capitals and Maple Leafs at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:30am AEDT on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Washington vs Toronto predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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