Cardinals vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2024
Last updated: Sep 29, 2024, 8:05PM | Published: Sep 22, 2024, 8:05PM
The Arizona Cardinals will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 4 action at State Farm Stadium on Monday, commencing at 6:05am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Cardinals vs Commanders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Arizona vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cardinals a 61% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Cardinals vs Commanders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at State Farm Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Cardinals $1.56, Commanders $2.50
- Line: Cardinals -3.5 ($1.91), Commanders +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Cardinals at $1.56 and the Commanders at $2.50.
The Cardinals are 3.5-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Cardinals and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 48.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Cardinals vs Commanders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.50 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Cardinals have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Cardinals vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cardinals vs Commanders at State Farm Stadium in Week 4 is the Cardinals winning 26-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Arizona vs Washington game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Cardinals vs Commanders prediction.
Cardinals vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Cardinals vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Arizona's James Conner is the most likely player to score the first TD in Cardinals vs Commanders.
Conner has a 13.0% chance of getting in for six first at State Farm Stadium, while the Cardinals RB has a 54.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Cardinals First TD Tips
- James Conner: 13.0% probability
- Marvin Harrison: 11.2% probability
- Kyler Murray: 7.2% probability
- Michael Wilson: 5.4% probability
- Greg Dortch: 4.5% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Brian Robinson: 11.6% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 11.6% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 6.0% probability
- Noah Brown: 4.5% probability
- Zach Ertz: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Cardinals Anytime TD Tips
- James Conner: 54.0% probability
- Marvin Harrison: 47.7% probability
- Kyler Murray: 35.0% probability
- Michael Wilson: 25.3% probability
- Greg Dortch: 22.8% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 50.7% probability
- Brian Robinson: 50.3% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 29.1% probability
- Noah Brown: 23.1% probability
- Zach Ertz: 22.0% probability
Cardinals-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cardinals' Kyler Murray is projected for 241 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 194 yards.
Cardinals Starting QB
- Kyler Murray: 241 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 194 projected passing yards
Cardinals Rushing Yards
- James Conner: 73 projected yards
- Kyler Murray: 36 projected yards
- Trey Benson: 15 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 60 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 44 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 9 projected yards
Cardinals Receiving Yards
- Marvin Harrison: 65 projected yards
- Greg Dortch: 42 projected yards
- Michael Wilson: 36 projected yards
- Elijah Higgins: 33 projected yards
- Tip Reiman: 15 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 60 projected yards
- Noah Brown: 35 projected yards
- Brian Robinson: 30 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 24 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 18 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Arizona vs Washington game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Cardinals vs Commanders: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 game between the Cardinals and Commanders at State Farm Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:05am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 30 September 2024
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: State Farm Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Arizona vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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