Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Prediction - ATP Barcelona Open 2025
Apr 19, 2025, 6:03PM
Carlos Alcaraz will take on Holger Rune in the final at the 2025 ATP Barcelona Open tournament on Monday.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Alcaraz vs Rune match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Alcaraz-Rune men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz a 74% chance of defeating Rune at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Alcaraz vs Rune: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's ATP Barcelona Open match between Alcaraz and Rune are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.20, Rune $4.50
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.30, Rune $3.50
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.20 and Rune at $4.50.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.30 and odds for Rune to win the first set at $3.50.
Alcaraz vs Rune: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Rune at $4.50 with TAB
- First Set: Rune at $1.83 with TAB (53% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
These Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune predictions are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Rune to win is the best option because of the 4.8% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Rune ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Rune: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune match at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Alcaraz-Rune match at the ATP Barcelona Open event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Rune: ATP Barcelona Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Barcelona Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune is scheduled to start at 12:00am AEST.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune
- Date: Monday 21 April 2025
- Approx. Time: 12:00am AEST
- Event: ATP Barcelona, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Final
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.