Carlton vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2024
Last updated: Apr 13, 2024, 6:33AM | Published: Apr 7, 2024, 10:18PM
Carlton will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 5 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Carlton vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Carlton vs Adelaide
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Carlton-Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 77% chance of beating the Crows in Round 5 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Carlton vs Adelaide Simulated 10,000 Times
Carlton vs Adelaide: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $1.35, Adelaide $3.75
- Line: Carlton -20.5 ($2.00), Adelaide +20.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.93
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Carlton at $1.35 and Adelaide at $3.75.
The Blues are 20.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $2.00 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Crows (+20.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Carlton vs Adelaide is set at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.06 and odds for the Under at $1.93.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Crows (+20.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 170.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Carlton vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.35 with (77% probability)
- Line: Carlton -20.5 at $2.00 with Betfair
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
These Carlton vs Adelaide betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Although the Crows are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Blues -20.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
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Carlton vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Saturday has Carlton winning 93-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Carlton vs Adelaide on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Carlton vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Carlton vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Adelaide.
Curnow has an 8.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has a 92.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 8.6% probability
- Harry McKay: 8.1% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 5.3% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.3% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.1% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 7.7% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.9% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 5.2% probability
- Josh Rachele: 4.7% probability
- Lachlan Gollant: 3.3% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 92.9% probability
- Harry McKay: 90.3% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 78.3% probability
- Matthew Owies: 71.1% probability
- Corey Durdin: 56.8% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 89.3% probability
- Izak Rankine: 81.5% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 76.4% probability
- Josh Rachele: 71.6% probability
- Lachlan Gollant: 59.8% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Carlton vs Adelaide match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Carlton vs Adelaide: Preview
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Blues and Crows at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Carlton vs Adelaide predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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