Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 8, 2024
Last updated: May 3, 2024, 9:03AM | Published: Apr 29, 2024, 2:33AM
Carlton will take on Collingwood in AFL Round 8 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Carlton vs Collingwood game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Carlton vs Collingwood
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Carlton-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 64% chance of beating the Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Carlton vs Collingwood Match Centre
Carlton vs Collingwood: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $1.61, Collingwood $2.62
- Line: Carlton -10.5 ($2.04), Collingwood +10.5 ($1.94)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.87
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $1.61 and Collingwood at $2.62.
The Blues are 10.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $2.04 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Magpies (+10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.94.
The Over/Under for Carlton vs Collingwood sits at 173.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Magpies (+10.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 173.5-point Over/Under has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Carlton vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.61 with Betfair (64% probability)
- Line: Carlton -10.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (0.1% edge)
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Carlton vs Collingwood betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Magpies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Blues -10.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
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Carlton vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has Carlton winning 89-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Carlton vs Collingwood on Friday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Goal Kickers
Searching for Carlton vs Collingwood goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Collingwood.
Curnow has an 8.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 92.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 8.1% probability
- Harry McKay: 8.0% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.8% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 4.2% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 3.2% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 6.2% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 6.1% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 5.1% probability
- Bobby Hill: 5.0% probability
- Beau McCreery: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 92.0% probability
- Harry McKay: 90.6% probability
- Matthew Owies: 76.4% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 70.2% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 59.4% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 86.9% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 82.2% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 79.3% probability
- Bobby Hill: 75.7% probability
- Beau McCreery: 60.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Collingwood match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Carlton vs Collingwood: Preview
The AFL Round 8 clash between the Blues and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Collingwood
- Date: Friday 3 May 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Carlton vs Collingwood predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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