Carlton vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 15, 2024
Last updated: Jun 21, 2024, 9:32AM | Published: Jun 16, 2024, 9:45AM
Carlton will face Geelong in AFL Round 15 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Carlton vs Geelong game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Carlton vs Geelong
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Carlton-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 55% chance of winning against the Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Carlton vs Geelong Match Centre
Carlton vs Geelong: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $1.74, Geelong $2.32
- Line: Carlton -6.5 ($2.00), Geelong +6.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $1.74 and Geelong at $2.32.
The Blues are listed as 6.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Cats (+6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The over/under for total points scored sits at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.94 and odds for the under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 66% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
Carlton vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $2.32 with Betfair (1.5% edge)
- Line: Geelong +6.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (66% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Our Carlton vs Geelong best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our recommended option due to the 1.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Carlton vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday has Carlton winning 82-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Carlton vs Geelong on Friday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live updates.
Carlton vs Geelong: Goal Scorers
Searching for Carlton vs Geelong goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Geelong.
Curnow has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 91.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 8.8% probability
- Harry McKay: 7.2% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.1% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 3.7% probability
- Corey Durdin: 2.9% probability
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 7.0% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 5.9% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.7% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 4.5% probability
- Gary Rohan: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 91.6% probability
- Harry McKay: 88.2% probability
- Matthew Owies: 69.2% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 65.7% probability
- Corey Durdin: 55.5% probability
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 85.8% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 81.4% probability
- Oliver Henry: 74.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 71.9% probability
- Gary Rohan: 58.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Geelong match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Carlton vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 15 clash between the Blues and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Geelong
- Date: Friday 21 June 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Carlton vs Geelong predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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