Carlton vs Gold Coast Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2024

Last updated: May 25, 2024, 3:33AM | Published: May 20, 2024, 9:00AM

Carlton will play Gold Coast in AFL Round 11 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 1:45pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Carlton vs Gold Coast game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Carlton vs Gold Coast

Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Carlton-Gold Coast AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 73% chance of winning against the Suns at Marvel Stadium.

More: Carlton vs Gold Coast Simulated 10K Times

Carlton vs Gold Coast: Odds

The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:

Head to Head: Carlton $1.50, Gold Coast $2.96
Line: Carlton -15.5 ($2.02), Gold Coast +15.5 ($1.95)
Total (Over/Under 174.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.04

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $1.50 and Gold Coast at $2.96.

The Blues are 15.5-point favourites against the Suns, with odds of $2.02 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Suns (+15.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.95.

The Over/Under for Carlton vs Gold Coast sits at 174.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $2.04.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Carlton and Gold Coast have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 174.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Game

Carlton vs Gold Coast: Best Bets

Head to Head: Carlton at $1.50 with Betfair (73% probability) 🔥
Line: Carlton -15.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Under 174.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.

Today's Carlton vs Gold Coast betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Carlton vs Gold Coast: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium on Saturday has Carlton prevailing 93-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Carlton vs Gold Coast on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Carlton vs Gold Coast: Goal Kickers

Looking for Carlton vs Gold Coast goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Gold Coast.

Curnow has a 9.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has a 94.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Carlton

Charlie Curnow: 9.3% probability
Harry McKay: 8.2% probability
Matthew Owies: 5.6% probability
Orazio Fantasia: 4.7% probability
Tom De Koning: 3.3% probability

Gold Coast

Ben King: 6.2% probability
Jed Walter: 4.5% probability
Jack Lukosius: 4.0% probability
Ben Ainsworth: 3.4% probability
Joel Jeffrey: 2.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Carlton

Charlie Curnow: 94.5% probability
Harry McKay: 93.8% probability
Matthew Owies: 80.1% probability
Orazio Fantasia: 74.8% probability
Tom De Koning: 64.2% probability

Gold Coast

Ben King: 86.2% probability
Jed Walter: 76.2% probability
Jack Lukosius: 66.6% probability
Ben Ainsworth: 63.7% probability
Joel Jeffrey: 59.8% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Gold Coast match at Marvel Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Carlton vs Gold Coast: Preview

The AFL Round 11 clash between the Blues and Suns at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Carlton vs Gold Coast
Date: Saturday 25 May 2024
Time: 1:45pm AEST
Venue: Marvel Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Carlton vs Gold Coast predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.