Carlton vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2024
Last updated: Apr 20, 2024, 6:33AM | Published: Apr 15, 2024, 9:17AM
Carlton will sqaure off with GWS in AFL Round 6 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Carlton vs GWS game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Carlton vs GWS
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Carlton-GWS AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 52% chance of defeating the Giants at Marvel Stadium.
More: Carlton vs GWS Match Centre
Carlton vs GWS: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $1.92, GWS $2.06
- Line: Carlton -2.5 ($2.04), GWS +2.5 ($1.94)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.93
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Carlton at $1.92 and GWS at $2.06.
The Blues are 2.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $2.04 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Giants (+2.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.94.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.06 and odds for the Under at $1.93.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Giants (+2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 175.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024
Carlton vs GWS: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.92 with (52% probability)
- Line: Carlton -2.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (0.3% edge)
- Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (55% probability)
Stats Insider's Carlton vs GWS betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Although the Giants are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Blues -2.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Looking for further insight on Round 6 AFL action? Matt from Champion Bets has put his knowledge and background as a data scientist to work, finding markets that are easier to win money on.
He then uses this knowledge to provide you with the best bets of every AFL round straight to you.
Click here and use promo code STATS to get 20% off your AFL Champion Bets subscription.
Carlton vs GWS: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs GWS at Marvel Stadium this Saturday has Carlton winning 87-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Carlton vs GWS on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Carlton vs GWS: Goal Scorers
Looking for Carlton vs GWS goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, GWS' Toby Greene is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs GWS.
Greene has an 8.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Giants star has a 92.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 7.7% probability
- Charlie Curnow: 7.2% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.8% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 3.8% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.0% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 8.6% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 6.3% probability
- Callum Brown: 4.6% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 4.0% probability
- Brent Daniels: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 89.0% probability
- Charlie Curnow: 88.5% probability
- Matthew Owies: 74.9% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 69.8% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 57.2% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 92.5% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 86.1% probability
- Callum Brown: 73.2% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 69.7% probability
- Brent Daniels: 68.1% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs GWS match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Carlton vs GWS: Preview
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Blues and Giants at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Carlton vs GWS predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
