Carlton vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 24, 2024

Last updated: Aug 25, 2024, 5:15AM | Published: Aug 18, 2024, 10:51AM

Carlton will face St Kilda in AFL Round 24 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 3:20pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Carlton vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 54% chance of beating the Blues at Marvel Stadium.

Carlton vs St Kilda: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:

Head to Head: Carlton $2.05, St Kilda $1.80
Line: Carlton +3.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -3.5 ($1.91)
Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $2.05 and St Kilda at $1.80.

The Blues are listed as 3.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Saints (-3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Carlton and St Kilda have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 166.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Carlton vs St Kilda: Betting Tips

Head to Head: St Kilda at $1.80 with Bet365
Line: St Kilda -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Today's Carlton vs St Kilda betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Carlton vs St Kilda: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium on Sunday is St Kilda winning 84-80.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlton vs St Kilda match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Carlton vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers

Looking for Carlton vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Matthew Owies is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs St Kilda.

Owies has a 6.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has an 82.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Carlton

Matthew Owies: 6.0% probability
Jesse Motlop: 4.6% probability
Ashton Moir: 4.6% probability
Elijah Hollands: 3.9% probability
Corey Durdin: 3.4% probability

St Kilda

Tim Membrey: 5.5% probability
Jack Higgins: 5.2% probability
Cooper Sharman: 5.2% probability
Dan Butler: 4.3% probability
Mitch Owens: 4.0% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Carlton

Matthew Owies: 82.5% probability
Jesse Motlop: 72.9% probability
Ashton Moir: 71.3% probability
Elijah Hollands: 67.7% probability
Corey Durdin: 59.0% probability

St Kilda

Jack Higgins: 80.9% probability
Tim Membrey: 79.5% probability
Cooper Sharman: 75.6% probability
Dan Butler: 69.8% probability
Mason Wood: 69.2% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs St Kilda match.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Carlton vs St Kilda: Essential Details

The AFL Round 24 clash between the Blues and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.

Teams: Carlton vs St Kilda
Date: Sunday 25 August 2024
Time: 3:20pm AEST
Venue: Marvel Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Carlton vs St Kilda predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.