Carlton vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2023
May 7, 2023, 10:55AM
Carlton faces the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 9 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Carlton vs Western Bulldogs, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 9, 2023
Who Will Win: Carlton vs Western Bulldogs
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Carlton-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 53% chance of winning against the Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium.
More: Carlton vs Western Bulldogs Simulated 10,000 Times
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $1.91, Bulldogs $2.08
- Line: Carlton +0.5 ($1.86), Bulldogs -0.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $2.04
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Carlton to win at $1.91 and the Bulldogs to win at $2.08.
The Blues are listed as 0.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.86 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-0.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Carlton vs Western Bulldogs has been set at 166.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+0.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 166.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
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Carlton vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.91 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Line: Carlton +0.5 at $1.86 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 166.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Carlton vs Western Bulldogs best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Saturday has Carlton winning 85-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Carlton vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Carlton vs Bulldogs: Goal Kickers
Searching for Carlton vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Western.
Curnow has a 9.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has a 93.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 9.2% probability
- Harry McKay: 8.0% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.8% probability
- Jack Silvagni: 4.2% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 3.7% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 6.8% probability
- Rory Lobb: 5.6% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 4.8% probability
- Cody Weightman: 4.8% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 93.1% probability
- Harry McKay: 90.5% probability
- Matthew Owies: 74.5% probability
- Jack Silvagni: 68.5% probability
- Corey Durdin: 63.0% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 86.8% probability
- Rory Lobb: 81.8% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 76.4% probability
- Cody Weightman: 74.2% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 71.0% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs Bulldogs game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Blues and Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Game: Carlton vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday 13 May 2023
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Carlton vs Bulldogs are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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