Chargers vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2023
Last updated: Dec 24, 2023, 1:06AM | Published: Dec 19, 2023, 6:07AM
The Los Angeles Chargers will square off with the favoured Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 16 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 12:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Chargers vs Bills game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Chargers vs Bills
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's LA Chargers-Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills an 89% chance of winning against the Chargers at SoFi Stadium.
More: Chargers vs Bills Match Centre
Chargers vs Bills: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chargers $7.20, Bills $1.15
- Line: Chargers +12.5 ($2.02), Bills -12.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Chargers at $7.20 and the Bills at $1.15.
The Chargers are 12.5-point underdogs against the Bills, with odds of $2.02 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Bills (-12.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.97.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 44.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Chargers and the Bills have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
The best site for placing bets on the Chargers vs Bills game is Betfair, where you can bet against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Chargers vs Bills: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Buffalo at $1.15 with Betfair (89% probability)
- Line: Chargers +12.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (56% probability)
Our Chargers vs Bills best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
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Chargers vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Bills at SoFi Stadium in Week 16 has the Bills winning 28-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of LA Chargers vs Buffalo in Week 16, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Chargers vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs Bills? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's James Cook is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chargers vs Bills.
Cook has a 12.1% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Bills RB has a 47.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers First TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 7.2% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 4.6% probability
- Gerald Everett: 4.4% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 3.3% probability
- Isaiah Spiller: 3.1% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- James Cook: 12.1% probability
- Josh Allen: 11.3% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 9.8% probability
- Gabe Davis: 7.4% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 6.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 32.7% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 22.4% probability
- Gerald Everett: 20.4% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 16.0% probability
- Isaiah Spiller: 14.5% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- James Cook: 47.1% probability
- Josh Allen: 44.9% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 40.0% probability
- Gabe Davis: 30.7% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 26.2% probability
Chargers-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Easton Stick is projected for 186 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 253 yards.
Chargers Starting QB
- Easton Stick: 186 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 253 projected passing yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Austin Ekeler: 44 projected yards
- Isaiah Spiller: 25 projected yards
- Easton Stick: 18 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 60 projected yards
- Latavius Murray: 28 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 19 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Gerald Everett: 41 projected yards
- Joshua Palmer: 40 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 34 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 26 projected yards
- Jalen Guyton: 23 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 80 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 38 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 32 projected yards
- James Cook: 22 projected yards
- Khalil Shakir: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the LA Chargers vs Buffalo game at SoFi Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chargers vs Bills: Week 16 Preview
The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Chargers and Bills at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Sunday 24 December 2023
- Time: 12:00pm AEDT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our LA Chargers vs Buffalo predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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