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Chargers vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2024

The Los Angeles Chargers will sqaure off with the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 16 action at SoFi Stadium on Friday, beginning at 12:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chargers vs Broncos game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's LA Chargers vs Denver NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Chargers a 59% chance of beating the Broncos at SoFi Stadium.

Chargers vs Broncos: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Chargers $1.62, Broncos $2.35
  • Line: Chargers -3 ($1.91), Broncos +3 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chargers at $1.62 and the Broncos at $2.35.

The Chargers are 3-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Broncos (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Broncos (+3) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Chargers vs Broncos: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Denver at $2.35 with Bet365
  • Line: Broncos +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.

Today's Chargers vs Broncos betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Broncos to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Chargers vs Broncos: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Broncos at SoFi Stadium in Week 16 is the Chargers winning 21-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the LA Chargers vs Denver game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

Chargers vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Broncos? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Denver's Courtland Sutton is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chargers vs Broncos.

Sutton has an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Broncos WR has a 44.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chargers First TD Tips

  • Ladd McConkey: 8.7% probability
  • Gus Edwards: 8.0% probability
  • Quentin Johnston: 7.1% probability
  • Kimani Vidal: 6.4% probability
  • Stone Smartt: 5.7% probability

Broncos First TD Tips

  • Courtland Sutton: 11.3% probability
  • Javonte Williams: 7.4% probability
  • Devaughn Vele: 5.7% probability
  • Audric Estime: 5.7% probability
  • Bo Nix: 4.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chargers Anytime TD Tips

  • Ladd McConkey: 35.4% probability
  • Gus Edwards: 32.2% probability
  • Quentin Johnston: 28.8% probability
  • Kimani Vidal: 26.7% probability
  • Stone Smartt: 24.0% probability

Broncos Anytime TD Tips

  • Courtland Sutton: 44.1% probability
  • Javonte Williams: 31.9% probability
  • Audric Estime: 24.3% probability
  • Devaughn Vele: 24.2% probability
  • Bo Nix: 18.2% probability

Chargers-Broncos Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 217 passing yards. The Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 212 yards.

Chargers Starting QB

  • Justin Herbert: 217 projected passing yards

Broncos Starting QB

  • Bo Nix: 212 projected passing yards

Chargers Rushing Yards

  • Gus Edwards: 38 projected yards
  • Kimani Vidal: 32 projected yards
  • Justin Herbert: 14 projected yards

Broncos Rushing Yards

  • Javonte Williams: 38 projected yards
  • Audric Estime: 36 projected yards
  • Bo Nix: 20 projected yards

Chargers Receiving Yards

  • Ladd McConkey: 60 projected yards
  • Quentin Johnston: 36 projected yards
  • Joshua Palmer: 29 projected yards
  • Stone Smartt: 25 projected yards
  • Hayden Hurst: 15 projected yards

Broncos Receiving Yards

  • Courtland Sutton: 68 projected yards
  • Devaughn Vele: 40 projected yards
  • Marvin Mims: 31 projected yards
  • Troy Franklin: 23 projected yards
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey: 20 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the LA Chargers vs Denver game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Chargers vs Broncos: Week 16 Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Chargers and Broncos at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our LA Chargers vs Denver predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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