Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2024
Last updated: Jan 7, 2024, 9:25PM | Published: Jan 1, 2024, 5:02AM
The Los Angeles Chargers will square off with the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 18 action at SoFi Stadium on Monday, beginning at 8:25am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chargers vs Chiefs game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Chargers vs Chiefs
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's LA Chargers-Kansas City NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 60% chance of winning against the Chiefs at SoFi Stadium.
More: Chargers vs Chiefs Simulated 10K Times
Chargers vs Chiefs: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chargers $1.60, Chiefs $2.64
- Line: Chargers -3 ($1.85), Chiefs +3 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 35.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $1.98
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Chargers at $1.60 and the Chiefs at $2.64.
The Chargers are listed as 3-point favourites against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Chiefs (+3) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.12.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 35.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.94 and odds for the Under at $1.98.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chiefs (+3) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 35.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
The best site to place a bet on the Chargers vs Chiefs game is Betfair, where you are able to bet against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Chargers vs Chiefs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $2.64 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Chiefs +3 at $2.12 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 35.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (52% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Chargers vs Chiefs best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Chiefs to win is our recommended option due to the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
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Chargers vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Chiefs at SoFi Stadium in Week 18 has the Chargers winning 19-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of LA Chargers vs Kansas City in Week 18, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Chargers vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Chiefs.
Ekeler has a 15.1% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 48.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers First TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 15.1% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 9.5% probability
- Alex Erickson: 6.4% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 5.3% probability
- Gerald Everett: 4.6% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 12.3% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 7.7% probability
- Justin Watson: 5.7% probability
- Richie James: 5.6% probability
- Noah Gray: 5.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 48.5% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 33.7% probability
- Alex Erickson: 24.5% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 20.2% probability
- Gerald Everett: 18.0% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 41.5% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 27.2% probability
- Justin Watson: 21.5% probability
- Noah Gray: 20.7% probability
- Richie James: 20.5% probability
Chargers-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Easton Stick is projected for 196 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Blaine Gabbert is expected to throw for just 169 yards.
Chargers Starting QB
- Easton Stick: 196 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Blaine Gabbert: 169 projected passing yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Austin Ekeler: 49 projected yards
- Easton Stick: 18 projected yards
- Joshua Kelley: 11 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 44 projected yards
- La'Mical Perine: 19 projected yards
- Keaontay Ingram: 10 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Joshua Palmer: 47 projected yards
- Gerald Everett: 46 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 36 projected yards
- Alex Erickson: 35 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 27 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Richie James: 36 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 28 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 28 projected yards
- Mecole Hardman: 28 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the LA Chargers vs Kansas City game at SoFi Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chargers vs Chiefs: Week 18 Preview
The NFL Week 18 match-up between the Chargers and Chiefs at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 8 January 2024
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our LA Chargers vs Kansas City predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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