Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2024
Last updated: Sep 29, 2024, 8:21PM | Published: Sep 23, 2024, 12:10AM
The Los Angeles Chargers will face the favoured Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 4 action at SoFi Stadium on Monday, starting at 6:25am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chargers vs Chiefs game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's LA Chargers vs Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 76% chance of winning against the Chargers at SoFi Stadium.
Chargers vs Chiefs: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chargers $3.60, Chiefs $1.31
- Line: Chargers +7 ($1.91), Chiefs -7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chargers at $3.60 and the Chiefs at $1.31.
The Chargers are 7-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chiefs (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chargers and the Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 41.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Chargers vs Chiefs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.31 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs -7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Chargers vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Chiefs at SoFi Stadium in Week 4 is the Chiefs prevailing 23-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the LA Chargers vs Kansas City game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Chargers vs Chiefs prediction.
Chargers vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Chiefs.
Rice has an 11.4% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chiefs WR has a 41.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers First TD Tips
- J.K. Dobbins: 8.7% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 5.8% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 5.3% probability
- Gus Edwards: 5.1% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 4.2% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 11.4% probability
- Carson Steele: 9.3% probability
- Travis Kelce: 9.0% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 6.4% probability
- Samaje Perine: 6.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- J.K. Dobbins: 35.0% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 24.0% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 22.9% probability
- Gus Edwards: 22.5% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 19.4% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Rashee Rice: 41.6% probability
- Carson Steele: 36.0% probability
- Travis Kelce: 35.4% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 26.0% probability
- Samaje Perine: 25.8% probability
Chargers-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 200 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 290 yards.
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 200 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 290 projected passing yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- J.K. Dobbins: 77 projected yards
- Gus Edwards: 26 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 14 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Carson Steele: 55 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 24 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 20 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 42 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 33 projected yards
- Joshua Palmer: 29 projected yards
- Hayden Hurst: 19 projected yards
- Will Dissly: 15 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 75 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 52 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 39 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 22 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the LA Chargers vs Kansas City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chargers vs Chiefs: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 game between the Chargers and Chiefs at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 30 September 2024
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our LA Chargers vs Kansas City predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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