Chargers vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2023
Last updated: Sep 10, 2023, 8:21PM | Published: Aug 31, 2023, 1:20AM
The Los Angeles Chargers square off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 1 action at SoFi Stadium on Monday, commencing at 6:25am AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Chargers vs Dolphins, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Chargers vs Dolphins
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's LA Chargers-Miami NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Chargers a 58% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 1 of the NFL season.
More: Chargers vs Dolphins Match Centre
Chargers vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chargers $1.62, Dolphins $2.40
- Line: Chargers -3 ($1.91), Dolphins +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Chargers at $1.62 and the Dolphins at $2.40.
The Chargers are 3-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+3) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Chargers vs Dolphins sits at 50 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (+3) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 50-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Chargers vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $2.40 with bet365 (1.3% edge)
- Line: Dolphins +3 at $1.91 with bet365 (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 50 at $1.91 with PointsBet (51% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Chargers vs Dolphins betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option because of the 1.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Chargers vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chargers vs Dolphins at SoFi Stadium in Week 1 has the Chargers winning 26-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of LA Chargers vs Miami in Week 1, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Chargers vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs Dolphins? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chargers vs Dolphins.
Ekeler has an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 50.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers First TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 11.3% probability
- Mike Williams: 6.8% probability
- Keenan Allen: 6.6% probability
- Gerald Everett: 4.6% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 4.1% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 10.1% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 9.6% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 7.8% probability
- Salvon Ahmed: 6.7% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 5.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Austin Ekeler: 50.7% probability
- Mike Williams: 32.9% probability
- Keenan Allen: 31.3% probability
- Gerald Everett: 23.4% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 21.9% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Tyreek Hill: 46.5% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 45.5% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 37.0% probability
- Salvon Ahmed: 33.1% probability
- Braxton Berrios: 26.6% probability
Chargers-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 274 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 260 yards.
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 274 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 260 projected passing yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Austin Ekeler: 60 projected yards
- Joshua Kelley: 22 projected yards
- Isaiah Spiller: 18 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- Raheem Mostert: 69 projected yards
- Salvon Ahmed: 28 projected yards
- Tua Tagovailoa: 9 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Mike Williams: 63 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 61 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 34 projected yards
- Joshua Palmer: 33 projected yards
- Gerald Everett: 31 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 76 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 71 projected yards
- Durham Smythe: 20 projected yards
- Braxton Berrios: 19 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 17 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the LA Chargers vs Miami match-up at SoFi Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chargers vs Dolphins: Week 1 Preview
The NFL Week 1 match-up between the Chargers and Dolphins at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 11 September 2023
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for LA Chargers vs Miami are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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