Chiefs vs Bears Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2023
Last updated: Sep 24, 2023, 8:25PM | Published: Sep 19, 2023, 4:00AM
The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 3 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, beginning at 6:25am AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Chiefs vs Bears, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Bears
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Kansas City-Chicago NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 84% chance of defeating the Bears at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
More: Chiefs vs Bears Match Centre
Chiefs vs Bears: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.14, Bears $6.00
- Line: Chiefs -12.5 ($1.91), Bears +12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.14 and the Bears at $6.00.
The Chiefs are 12.5-point favourites against the Bears, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Bears (+12.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Chiefs vs Bears is set at 48.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bears (+12.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 48.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Chiefs vs Bears: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Chicago at $6.00 with bet365 (0.4% edge)
- Line: Bears +12.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (56% probability)
Our Chiefs vs Bears best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bears to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Chiefs vs Bears: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Bears at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 3 has the Chiefs winning 29-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Kansas City vs Chicago in Week 3, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Chiefs vs Bears: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Bears? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Bears.
Kelce has a 10.5% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE has a 45.3% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 10.5% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 7.0% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 6.6% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 5.5% probability
- Skyy Moore: 5.2% probability
Bears First TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 6.7% probability
- Roschon Johnson: 5.5% probability
- DJ Moore: 5.4% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 4.7% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 3.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 45.3% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 32.0% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 31.1% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 27.3% probability
- Skyy Moore: 25.1% probability
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 33.8% probability
- DJ Moore: 27.2% probability
- Roschon Johnson: 27.1% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 24.7% probability
- Chase Claypool: 21.3% probability
Chiefs-Bears Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 296 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 207 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 296 projected passing yards
Bears Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 207 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 55 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 32 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- Justin Fields: 50 projected yards
- Khalil Herbert: 49 projected yards
- Roschon Johnson: 32 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 79 projected yards
- Kadarius Toney: 43 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 41 projected yards
- Skyy Moore: 36 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 30 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- DJ Moore: 62 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 47 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 38 projected yards
- Chase Claypool: 24 projected yards
- Roschon Johnson: 19 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Kansas City vs Chicago game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Bears: Week 3 Preview
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Chiefs and Bears at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears
- Date: Monday 25 September 2023
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Kansas City vs Chicago are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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