Chiefs vs Bengals Prediction and Odds - NFL AFC Championship Game 2023
Jan 23, 2023, 2:50AM
The Kansas City Chiefs face the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL Playoffs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 10:30am AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Chiefs vs Bengals, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Chiefs vs Bengals
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Kansas City-Cincinnati NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 56% chance of defeating the Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Bengals vs Chiefs
Chiefs vs Bengals Betting Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL clash at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.77, Bengals $2.10
- Line: Chiefs -2 ($1.91), Bengals +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Chiefs to win at $1.77 and the Bengals to win at $2.10.
The Chiefs are listed as -2 favourites against the Bengals, with odds of $1.91 currrently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Bengals (+2) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 48.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bengals (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 48.5 points has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Bengals vs Chiefs NFL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Chiefs at $1.77 with bet365 (56% probability)
- Line: Bengals +2 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
- Total: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
These Cincinnati vs Kansas City best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Bengals vs Chiefs Best Bets
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cincinnati vs Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium this Monday has the Chiefs prevailing 24-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Cincinnati vs Kansas City on Monday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Chiefs vs Bengals TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Bengals? The latest data is in.
The most likely first touchdown scorer and most likely anytime touchdown scorer for both the Chiefs and Bengals, as well as player prop predictions, are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Bengals.
Kelce has a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE has a 54.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Kansas City First TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 12.7% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 10.8% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 7.7% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 4.6% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 4.5% probability
Cincinnati First TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 11.8% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 10.6% probability
- Tee Higgins: 8.2% probability
- Hayden Hurst: 5.4% probability
- Joe Burrow: 4.8% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Kansas City Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 54.6% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 46.7% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 35.8% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 23.6% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 21.5% probability
Cincinnati Anytime TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 49.2% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 46.4% probability
- Tee Higgins: 38.5% probability
- Hayden Hurst: 25.7% probability
- Joe Burrow: 23.8% probability
Chiefs-Bengals Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 280 passing yards. The Bengals' Joe Burrow is expected to throw for a whopping 300 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 280 projected passing yards
Bengals Starting QB
- Joe Burrow: 300 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 57 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 27 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 23 projected yards
Bengals Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 57 projected yards
- Joe Burrow: 19 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 18 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 80 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 50 projected yards
- Kadarius Toney: 31 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 29 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 28 projected yards
Bengals Receiving Yards
- Ja'Marr Chase: 108 projected yards
- Tee Higgins: 67 projected yards
- Hayden Hurst: 42 projected yards
- Tyler Boyd: 37 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 25 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest expert analysis before the Cincinnati vs Kansas City game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Value Summary for the best tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Bengals NFL 2023
Monday's action between the Chiefs and Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:30am AEDT on Monday.
- Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals
- Playoff Round: NFL AFC Championship
- Date: Monday 30 January 2023
- Time: 10:30am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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