Chiefs vs Bengals Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2023
Last updated: Dec 31, 2023, 9:25PM | Published: Dec 26, 2023, 5:47AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will play the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 17 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chiefs vs Bengals game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Bengals
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City-Cincinnati NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs a 75% chance of defeating the Bengals in Week 17 of the NFL season.
More: Chiefs vs Bengals Match Centre
Chiefs vs Bengals: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.33, Bengals $3.95
- Line: Chiefs -6.5 ($1.80), Bengals +6.5 ($2.24)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.96
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Chiefs at $1.33 and the Bengals at $3.95.
The Chiefs are 6.5-point favourites against the Bengals, with odds of $1.80 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Bengals (+6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.24.
The Over/Under for Chiefs vs Bengals is set at 46.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.96.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chiefs (-6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 46.5 points has a 52% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Chiefs vs Bengals game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Chiefs vs Bengals: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.33 with Betfair (75% probability)
- Line: Bengals +6.5 at $2.24 with Betfair (0.7% edge)
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Chiefs vs Bengals best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Chiefs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Bengals +6.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
What's better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.
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Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.
Chiefs vs Bengals: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 17 has the Chiefs winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Kansas City vs Cincinnati in Week 17, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Chiefs vs Bengals: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Bengals? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Bengals.
Pacheco has a 12.2% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 49.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 12.2% probability
- Travis Kelce: 10.6% probability
- Rashee Rice: 9.3% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 6.2% probability
- Justin Watson: 4.5% probability
Bengals First TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 7.8% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 6.4% probability
- Tee Higgins: 6.2% probability
- Chase Brown: 5.4% probability
- Tyler Boyd: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 49.2% probability
- Travis Kelce: 44.9% probability
- Rashee Rice: 39.9% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 29.1% probability
- Justin Watson: 21.8% probability
Bengals Anytime TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 35.1% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 29.4% probability
- Tee Higgins: 28.3% probability
- Chase Brown: 25.5% probability
- Tyler Boyd: 21.1% probability
Chiefs-Bengals Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 264 passing yards, while the Bengals' Jake Browning is expected to throw for 199 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 264 projected passing yards
Bengals Starting QB
- Jake Browning: 199 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 64 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 23 projected yards
- Keaontay Ingram: 6 projected yards
Bengals Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 59 projected yards
- Chase Brown: 31 projected yards
- Jake Browning: 16 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 70 projected yards
- Rashee Rice: 59 projected yards
- Richie James: 33 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 28 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 projected yards
Bengals Receiving Yards
- Ja'Marr Chase: 68 projected yards
- Tee Higgins: 46 projected yards
- Tyler Boyd: 45 projected yards
- Tanner Hudson: 31 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 16 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs Cincinnati game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Bengals: Week 17 Preview
The NFL Week 17 match-up between the Chiefs and Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Monday 1 January 2023
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Kansas City vs Cincinnati predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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