Chiefs vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2023
Last updated: Dec 10, 2023, 9:25PM | Published: Dec 5, 2023, 12:50PM
The Kansas City Chiefs will play the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 14 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Chiefs vs Bills game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Bills
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City-Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 55% chance of defeating the Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
More: Chiefs vs Bills Match Centre
Chiefs vs Bills: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.77, Bills $2.10
- Line: Chiefs -2 ($1.91), Bills +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Chiefs at $1.77 and the Bills at $2.10.
The Chiefs are listed as 2-point favourites against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Bills (+2) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 49.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bills (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 49.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Chiefs vs Bills: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.77 with PointsBet (55% probability)
- Line: Bills +2 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
These Chiefs vs Bills predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
Chiefs vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 14 has the Chiefs winning 25-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Kansas City vs Buffalo in Week 14, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Chiefs vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Bills? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Bills.
Diggs has an 8.8% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Bills WR has a 40.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 8.4% probability
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 7.9% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 6.9% probability
- Rashee Rice: 6.6% probability
- Justin Watson: 4.6% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 8.8% probability
- James Cook: 7.6% probability
- Josh Allen: 7.0% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 6.3% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 5.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 40.3% probability
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 35.8% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 32.8% probability
- Rashee Rice: 31.4% probability
- Justin Watson: 23.3% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 40.6% probability
- James Cook: 35.2% probability
- Josh Allen: 34.2% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 30.5% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 25.7% probability
Chiefs-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 295 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 236 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 295 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 236 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 52 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 26 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 17 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 58 projected yards
- Latavius Murray: 31 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 18 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 69 projected yards
- Rashee Rice: 50 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 37 projected yards
- Skyy Moore: 25 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 24 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 80 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 54 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 42 projected yards
- Khalil Shakir: 34 projected yards
- James Cook: 17 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Kansas City vs Buffalo game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Bills: Week 14 Preview
The NFL Week 14 game between the Chiefs and Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 11 December 2023
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Kansas City vs Buffalo predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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