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Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2024

The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 10 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chiefs vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Kansas City vs Denver NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 76% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 10 of the NFL season.

Chiefs vs Broncos: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Chiefs $1.28, Broncos $3.75
  • Line: Chiefs -7 ($1.91), Broncos +7 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.28 and the Broncos at $3.75.

The Chiefs are 7-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Broncos (+7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chiefs (-7) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Chiefs vs Broncos: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.28 with Bet365
  • Line: Chiefs -7 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Our Chiefs vs Broncos best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.

Chiefs vs Broncos: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 10 is the Chiefs winning 24-17.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Kansas City vs Denver game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Chiefs vs Broncos prediction.

Chiefs vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Kareem Hunt is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos.

Hunt has a 15.6% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 57.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chiefs First TD Tips

  • Kareem Hunt: 15.6% probability
  • Travis Kelce: 9.6% probability
  • DeAndre Hopkins: 8.2% probability
  • Xavier Worthy: 6.5% probability
  • Noah Gray: 4.5% probability

Broncos First TD Tips

  • Courtland Sutton: 7.5% probability
  • Javonte Williams: 6.7% probability
  • Bo Nix: 5.2% probability
  • Troy Franklin: 3.6% probability
  • Jaleel McLaughlin: 3.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Chiefs Anytime TD Tips

  • Kareem Hunt: 57.4% probability
  • Travis Kelce: 39.6% probability
  • DeAndre Hopkins: 34.1% probability
  • Xavier Worthy: 27.3% probability
  • Noah Gray: 20.1% probability

Broncos Anytime TD Tips

  • Courtland Sutton: 32.3% probability
  • Javonte Williams: 29.5% probability
  • Bo Nix: 23.4% probability
  • Troy Franklin: 16.5% probability
  • Jaleel McLaughlin: 15.6% probability

Chiefs-Broncos Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 245 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 198 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

  • Patrick Mahomes: 245 projected passing yards

Broncos Starting QB

  • Bo Nix: 198 projected passing yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards

  • Kareem Hunt: 81 projected yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 19 projected yards
  • Carson Steele: 9 projected yards

Broncos Rushing Yards

  • Javonte Williams: 45 projected yards
  • Jaleel McLaughlin: 25 projected yards
  • Bo Nix: 19 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards

  • Travis Kelce: 66 projected yards
  • DeAndre Hopkins: 62 projected yards
  • Xavier Worthy: 42 projected yards
  • Noah Gray: 25 projected yards
  • Mecole Hardman: 22 projected yards

Broncos Receiving Yards

  • Courtland Sutton: 59 projected yards
  • Troy Franklin: 31 projected yards
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey: 29 projected yards
  • Devaughn Vele: 23 projected yards
  • Lucas Krull: 23 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Denver game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Chiefs vs Broncos: Week 10 Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 match-up between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Kansas City vs Denver predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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