Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2024
Last updated: Nov 5, 2024, 10:51AM | Published: Nov 3, 2024, 6:01PMThe Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 10 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Broncos game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Kansas City vs Denver NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs an 82% chance of defeating the Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.22, Broncos $4.50
- Line: Chiefs -9.5 ($1.91), Broncos +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.22 and the Broncos at $4.50.
The Chiefs are listed as 9.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Broncos (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.22 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Chiefs vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 10 is the Chiefs winning 24-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Kansas City vs Denver game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Chiefs vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Kareem Hunt is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos.
Hunt has a 15.8% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 56.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 15.8% probability
- Travis Kelce: 8.5% probability
- DeAndre Hopkins: 7.4% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 6.0% probability
- Noah Gray: 4.8% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 7.7% probability
- Javonte Williams: 6.7% probability
- Troy Franklin: 3.5% probability
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey: 3.5% probability
- Bo Nix: 3.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 56.0% probability
- Travis Kelce: 34.6% probability
- DeAndre Hopkins: 31.1% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 26.5% probability
- Noah Gray: 20.1% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 32.4% probability
- Javonte Williams: 29.1% probability
- Troy Franklin: 16.6% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 15.7% probability
- Bo Nix: 15.7% probability
Chiefs-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 233 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 198 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 233 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 198 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 61 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 19 projected yards
- Carson Steele: 9 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- Javonte Williams: 44 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 25 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 19 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- DeAndre Hopkins: 58 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 58 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 42 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 25 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 24 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 58 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 31 projected yards
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey: 30 projected yards
- Lucas Krull: 23 projected yards
- Devaughn Vele: 23 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Denver match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Week 10 Essential Details
The NFL Week 10 game between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Monday 11 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Denver predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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