Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2023
Last updated: Oct 23, 2023, 11:51AM | Published: Oct 10, 2023, 1:12AM
The Kansas City Chiefs play the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 6 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Friday, starting at 11:15am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Chiefs vs Broncos, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Broncos
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Kansas City-Denver NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs an 82% chance of defeating the Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
More: Chiefs vs Broncos Match Centre
Chiefs vs Broncos: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.17, Broncos $5.50
- Line: Chiefs -10.5 ($1.91), Broncos +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.17 and the Broncos at $5.50.
The Chiefs are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+10.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Chiefs vs Broncos is set at 47.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Broncos (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 47.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Chiefs vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Denver at $5.50 with bet365
- Line: Broncos +10.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
These Chiefs vs Broncos best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Broncos to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6 has the Chiefs winning 28-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Kansas City vs Denver in Week 6, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Chiefs vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Broncos.
Pacheco has a 10.3% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 45.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 10.3% probability
- Travis Kelce: 9.8% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 6.3% probability
- Rashee Rice: 5.6% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.4% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 8.3% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 7.3% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 5.3% probability
- Samaje Perine: 4.1% probability
- Russell Wilson: 3.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 45.0% probability
- Travis Kelce: 42.7% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 30.1% probability
- Rashee Rice: 27.6% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 22.1% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 38.6% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 35.0% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 25.7% probability
- Samaje Perine: 19.9% probability
- Russell Wilson: 16.4% probability
Chiefs-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 270 passing yards. The Broncos' Russell Wilson is expected to throw for 227 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 270 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Russell Wilson: 227 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 81 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 16 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- Javonte Williams: 46 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 22 projected yards
- Russell Wilson: 20 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 72 projected yards
- Rashee Rice: 39 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 28 projected yards
- Skyy Moore: 26 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 25 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Jerry Jeudy: 60 projected yards
- Courtland Sutton: 46 projected yards
- Greg Dulcich: 30 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 22 projected yards
- Brandon Johnson: 21 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Kansas City vs Denver match-up at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Broncos: Week 6 Preview
The NFL Week 6 match-up between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 11:15am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Friday 13 October 2023
- Time: 11:15am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Kansas City vs Denver are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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