Chiefs vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2023
Last updated: Sep 7, 2023, 11:46PM | Published: Aug 31, 2023, 1:21AM
The Kansas City Chiefs square off with the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 1 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Friday, starting at 10:20am AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Chiefs vs Lions, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Lions
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Kansas City-Detroit NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 63% chance of defeating the Lions in Week 1 of the NFL season.
More: Chiefs vs Lions Match Centre
Chiefs vs Lions: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.48, Lions $2.75
- Line: Chiefs -4 ($1.91), Lions +4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.48 and the Lions at $2.75.
The Chiefs are 4-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+4) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Chiefs vs Lions is set at 53.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chiefs (-4) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 53.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Chiefs vs Lions: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.48 with bet365 (63% probability)
- Line: Chiefs -4 at $1.91 with bet365 (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 53.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Chiefs vs Lions best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Chiefs vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Lions at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 1 has the Chiefs winning 28-24.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Kansas City vs Detroit in Week 1, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Chiefs vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Lions? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Lions.
Pacheco has a 9.0% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 43.3% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 9.0% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 6.8% probability
- Skyy Moore: 5.5% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 4.8% probability
- Noah Gray: 4.6% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 8.9% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 8.9% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7.1% probability
- Marvin Jones: 4.6% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 4.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 43.3% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 35.3% probability
- Skyy Moore: 28.6% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 25.9% probability
- Noah Gray: 25.3% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- David Montgomery: 43.9% probability
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 41.7% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 36.4% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 24.6% probability
- Marvin Jones: 24.2% probability
Chiefs-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 259 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 263 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 259 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 263 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 64 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 25 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 22 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- David Montgomery: 55 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 43 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 7 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Skyy Moore: 50 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 49 projected yards
- Kadarius Toney: 33 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 32 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 29 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 83 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 34 projected yards
- Marvin Jones: 30 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 29 projected yards
- Josh Reynolds: 28 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Kansas City vs Detroit game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Lions: Week 1 Preview
The NFL Week 1 game between the Chiefs and Lions at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:20am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Friday 8 September 2023
- Time: 10:20am AEST
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Kansas City vs Detroit are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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