Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2023
Last updated: Dec 25, 2023, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 19, 2023, 6:08AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will play the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 16 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Chiefs vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs Raiders
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Kansas City-Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 89% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 16 of the NFL season.
More: Chiefs vs Raiders Match Centre
Chiefs vs Raiders: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.18, Raiders $6.40
- Line: Chiefs -10.5 ($1.94), Raiders +10.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.98
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Chiefs at $1.18 and the Raiders at $6.40.
The Chiefs are 10.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.94 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Raiders (+10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.98.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chiefs (-10.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 40.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
The best site to place a bet on the Chiefs vs Raiders game is Betfair, where you can bet against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Chiefs vs Raiders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.18 with Betfair (89% probability)
- Line: Raiders +10.5 at $2.04 with Betfair
- Total Points: Over 40.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (50% probability)
These Chiefs vs Raiders betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Chiefs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Raiders +10.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
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Chiefs vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 16 has the Chiefs winning 25-14.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Kansas City vs Las Vegas in Week 16, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Chiefs vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Raiders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Raiders.
Pacheco has a 12.1% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 45.7% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 12.1% probability
- Travis Kelce: 10.7% probability
- Rashee Rice: 9.7% probability
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 6.1% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.9% probability
Raiders First TD Tips
- Davante Adams: 9.1% probability
- Zamir White: 8.6% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 5.9% probability
- Ameer Abdullah: 5.6% probability
- Austin Hooper: 2.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 45.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 41.5% probability
- Rashee Rice: 38.4% probability
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 25.0% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 21.3% probability
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Davante Adams: 37.6% probability
- Zamir White: 35.8% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 25.4% probability
- Ameer Abdullah: 23.7% probability
- Austin Hooper: 11.2% probability
Chiefs-Raiders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 259 passing yards, while the Raiders' Aidan O'Connell is expected to throw for 187 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 259 projected passing yards
Raiders Starting QB
- Aidan O'Connell: 187 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 60 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 19 projected yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Zamir White: 70 projected yards
- Ameer Abdullah: 17 projected yards
- Aidan O'Connell: 11 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 67 projected yards
- Rashee Rice: 59 projected yards
- Richie James: 31 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 31 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 20 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Davante Adams: 70 projected yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 32 projected yards
- Hunter Renfrow: 29 projected yards
- Austin Hooper: 22 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 16 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs Las Vegas game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Week 16 Preview
The NFL Week 16 game between the Chiefs and Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Tuesday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Tuesday 26 December 2023
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Kansas City vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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