Chiefs vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2024
Last updated: Oct 8, 2024, 12:11AM | Published: Oct 1, 2024, 4:05AM
The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 5 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Tuesday, beginning at 11:15am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Saints game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Kansas City vs New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs a 68% chance of beating the Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Chiefs vs Saints: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.42, Saints $2.95
- Line: Chiefs -5.5 ($1.91), Saints +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.42 and the Saints at $2.95.
The Chiefs are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Saints (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 43-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Chiefs vs Saints: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New Orleans at $2.95 with Bet365
- Line: Saints +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Chiefs vs Saints: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 5 is the Chiefs winning 24-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs New Orleans game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Chiefs vs Saints prediction.
Chiefs vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Saints? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is the most likely player to score the first TD in Chiefs vs Saints.
Kamara has a 12.5% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Saints RB has a 48.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 9.8% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 9.7% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 7.4% probability
- Samaje Perine: 4.7% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.4% probability
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 12.5% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 9.3% probability
- Chris Olave: 8.5% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 3.6% probability
- Jamaal Williams: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 41.4% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 40.1% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 31.1% probability
- Samaje Perine: 21.0% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 20.4% probability
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 48.4% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 38.0% probability
- Chris Olave: 35.6% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 17.6% probability
- Jamaal Williams: 16.6% probability
Chiefs-Saints Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 277 passing yards, while the Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 211 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 277 projected passing yards
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 211 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 49 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 20 projected yards
- Carson Steele: 17 projected yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 67 projected yards
- Jamaal Williams: 18 projected yards
- Derek Carr: 7 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 60 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 46 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 32 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 22 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 22 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Chris Olave: 65 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 44 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 25 projected yards
- Foster Moreau: 21 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 20 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Kansas City vs New Orleans game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Saints: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Chiefs and Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:15am AEDT on Tuesday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Tuesday 8 October 2024
- Time: 11:15am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs New Orleans predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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