Chiefs vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2024
Last updated: Dec 21, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 14, 2024, 6:00PM
The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Houston Texans in NFL Week 16 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Chiefs vs Texans game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Kansas City vs Houston NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 63% chance of defeating the Texans in Week 16 of the NFL season.
Chiefs vs Texans: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Chiefs $1.56, Texans $2.50
- Line: Chiefs -3 ($1.91), Texans +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Chiefs at $1.56 and the Texans at $2.50.
The Chiefs are 3-point favourites against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Texans (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chiefs (-3) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Chiefs vs Texans: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.56 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs -3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Chiefs vs Texans best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Chiefs vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Chiefs vs Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 16 is the Chiefs winning 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Houston game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Chiefs vs Texans prediction.
Chiefs vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Texans? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Houston's Joe Mixon is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs Texans.
Mixon has a 14.1% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Texans RB has a 53.3% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 8.4% probability
- Travis Kelce: 7.2% probability
- DeAndre Hopkins: 7.1% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 6.8% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 6.6% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 14.1% probability
- Nico Collins: 10.4% probability
- Tank Dell: 6.6% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 6.0% probability
- C.J. Stroud: 3.8% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 35.0% probability
- DeAndre Hopkins: 30.6% probability
- Travis Kelce: 29.8% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 29.8% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 28.9% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 53.3% probability
- Nico Collins: 41.2% probability
- Tank Dell: 28.5% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 25.9% probability
- C.J. Stroud: 16.9% probability
Chiefs-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 276 passing yards. The Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 270 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 276 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 270 projected passing yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 52 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 26 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 18 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 72 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
- Dameon Pierce: 7 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 65 projected yards
- DeAndre Hopkins: 52 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 40 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 26 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 20 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 87 projected yards
- Tank Dell: 50 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 39 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 24 projected yards
- Robert Woods: 22 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Kansas City vs Houston game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Chiefs vs Texans: Week 16 Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 game between the Chiefs and Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans
- Date: Sunday 22 December 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Kansas City vs Houston predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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