Collingwood vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Grand Final 2023
Last updated: Sep 30, 2023, 4:21AM | Published: Sep 23, 2023, 11:41PM
Collingwood plays Brisbane in AFL Grand Final action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 2:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Collingwood vs Brisbane, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: Brownlow Predictor
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Brisbane
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Collingwood-Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 55% chance of beating the Lions in this week's AFL Grand Final.
More: Collingwood vs Brisbane Match Centre
Collingwood vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.81, Brisbane $2.20
- Line: Collingwood -3.5 ($2.00), Brisbane +3.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.83, Under $2.12
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $1.81 and Brisbane at $2.20.
The Magpies are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Lions (+3.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 166.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83 and odds for the Under at $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Collingwood and Brisbane have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 166.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Collingwood vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.81 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Line: Collingwood -3.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Collingwood vs Brisbane betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
More: AFL Brownlow Predictor
Collingwood vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday has Collingwood winning 84-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Collingwood vs Brisbane on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Collingwood vs Brisbane: Goal Kickers
Looking for Collingwood vs Brisbane goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Brisbane.
Mihocek has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has an 89.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 7.9% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 6.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 5.2% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.3% probability
- Nick Daicos: 4.1% probability
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 7.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 5.8% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 4.5% probability
- Zac Bailey: 4.3% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 89.8% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 82.3% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 76.7% probability
- Bobby Hill: 70.2% probability
- Nick Daicos: 68.8% probability
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 87.4% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 80.4% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 72.9% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 68.3% probability
- Zac Bailey: 66.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Collingwood vs Brisbane game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: Brownlow Predictor 2023
Collingwood vs Brisbane: Preview
The AFL Grand Final clash between the Magpies and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 2:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 30 September 2023
- Time: 2:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Collingwood vs Brisbane have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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