Collingwood vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2024

Last updated: Aug 17, 2024, 6:36AM | Published: Aug 11, 2024, 10:50AM

Collingwood will take on Brisbane in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Collingwood vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Collingwood vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 59% chance of defeating the Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Collingwood vs Brisbane: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:

Head to Head: Collingwood $2.66, Brisbane $1.60
Line: Collingwood +10.5 ($1.96), Brisbane -10.5 ($2.02)
Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $2.66 and Brisbane at $1.60.

The Magpies are listed as 10.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.96 available at Betfair.

For the favourite Lions (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.02.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Magpies (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 67% of the time.

Collingwood vs Brisbane: Best Bets

Head to Head: Collingwood at $2.66 with Betfair (3.5% edge)
Line: Collingwood +10.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (67% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.

Today's Collingwood vs Brisbane betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our recommended option due to the 3.5% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Collingwood vs Brisbane: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Brisbane winning 84-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Collingwood vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Collingwood vs Brisbane match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Collingwood vs Brisbane: Essential Details

The AFL Round 23 clash between the Magpies and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Collingwood vs Brisbane
Date: Saturday 17 August 2024
Time: 4:35pm AEST
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

Our Collingwood vs Brisbane predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.