Collingwood vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2025
Mar 30, 2025, 10:15PM
Collingwood will sqaure off with Carlton in AFL Round 4 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Collingwood vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Collingwood vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 63% chance of beating the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.42, Carlton $3.00
- Line: Collingwood -14.5 ($1.91), Carlton +14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Collingwood at $1.42 and Carlton at $3.00.
The Magpies are listed as 14.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+14.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 165.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $3.00 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 165.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Our Collingwood vs Carlton predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option due to the 3.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday is Collingwood winning 87-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Collingwood vs Carlton match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Collingwood vs Carlton game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Magpies and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Carlton
- Date: Thursday 3 April 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Collingwood vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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