Collingwood vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 5, 2024, 9:33AM | Published: Jun 30, 2024, 11:11PM
Collingwood will play Essendon in AFL Round 17 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Collingwood vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Essendon
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Collingwood-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 60% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 17 of the 2024 AFL season.
Collingwood vs Essendon: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.72, Essendon $2.36
- Line: Collingwood -9.5 ($2.10), Essendon +9.5 ($1.88)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.94
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $1.72 and Essendon at $2.36.
The Magpies are 9.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $2.10 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Bombers (+9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.88.
The over/under for Collingwood vs Essendon has been set at 165.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.04 and odds for the under at $1.94.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+9.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 165.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Collingwood vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.72 with Betfair (60% probability)
- Line: Collingwood -9.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (0.2% edge)
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (55% probability)
These Collingwood vs Essendon predictions are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Bombers are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Magpies -9.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Collingwood vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has Collingwood prevailing 85-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Collingwood vs Essendon on Friday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live updates.
Collingwood vs Essendon: Goal Scorers
Searching for Collingwood vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Essendon.
Mihocek has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has an 87.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 7.3% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 5.4% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.9% probability
- Nick Daicos: 3.8% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 3.8% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 5.9% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.8% probability
- Peter Wright: 5.5% probability
- Nate Caddy: 4.2% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 87.5% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 77.7% probability
- Bobby Hill: 76.2% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 64.2% probability
- Nick Daicos: 63.4% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 82.1% probability
- Jake Stringer: 80.7% probability
- Peter Wright: 78.9% probability
- Nate Caddy: 68.2% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 65.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Essendon game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Collingwood vs Essendon: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Magpies and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Essendon
- Date: Friday 5 July 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Collingwood vs Essendon predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
