Collingwood vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024
Last updated: Jul 12, 2024, 9:33AM | Published: Jul 8, 2024, 1:04AM
Collingwood will take on Geelong in AFL Round 18 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Collingwood vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Geelong
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Collingwood-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 55% chance of defeating the Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Geelong: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $2.32, Geelong $1.74
- Line: Collingwood +6.5 ($1.94), Geelong -6.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $2.32 and Geelong at $1.74.
The Magpies are 6.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.94 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Cats (-6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.
The over/under for total points scored sits at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.08 and odds for the under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 61% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Collingwood vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $2.32 with Betfair (2.0% edge)
- Line: Collingwood +6.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Collingwood vs Geelong best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our preferred option due to the 2.0% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Collingwood vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has Geelong winning 84-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Collingwood vs Geelong on Friday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Collingwood vs Geelong: Goal Scorers
Looking for Collingwood vs Geelong goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Geelong.
Cameron has a 6.9% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Cats star has an 86.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 5.4% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 5.1% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.4% probability
- Reef McInnes: 3.8% probability
- Nick Daicos: 3.7% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 6.9% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.6% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.5% probability
- Shannon Neale: 4.1% probability
- Gary Rohan: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 79.1% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 74.2% probability
- Bobby Hill: 71.9% probability
- Reef McInnes: 65.9% probability
- Nick Daicos: 62.7% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 86.0% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 80.2% probability
- Oliver Henry: 70.6% probability
- Shannon Neale: 69.9% probability
- Gary Rohan: 63.5% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Geelong game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Collingwood vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Magpies and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Geelong
- Date: Friday 12 July 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Collingwood vs Geelong predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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