Collingwood vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Preliminary Final 2023
Last updated: Sep 22, 2023, 9:31AM | Published: Sep 17, 2023, 11:40PM
Collingwood faces GWS in AFL Preliminary Final action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Collingwood vs GWS, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
More: Brownlow Predictor
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs GWS
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Collingwood-GWS AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 60% chance of winning against the Giants at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Collingwood vs GWS Match Centre
Collingwood vs GWS: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.63, GWS $2.56
- Line: Collingwood -9.5 ($2.06), GWS +9.5 ($1.92)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $1.98
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $1.63 and GWS at $2.56.
The Magpies are 9.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $2.06 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Giants (+9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.92.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 164.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $1.98.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Giants (+9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Collingwood vs GWS: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: GWS at $2.56 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
- Line: GWS +9.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 164.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (51% probability)
Today's Collingwood vs GWS best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
More: AFL Brownlow Predictor
Collingwood vs GWS: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs GWS at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday has Collingwood winning 86-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Collingwood vs GWS on Friday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Collingwood vs GWS: Goal Scorers
Looking for Collingwood vs GWS goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, GWS' Toby Greene is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs GWS.
Greene has a 9.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Giants star has a 94.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 7.4% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 6.0% probability
- Daniel McStay: 5.4% probability
- Nick Daicos: 4.3% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.3% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 9.2% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 5.3% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 4.9% probability
- Brent Daniels: 4.5% probability
- Toby Bedford: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 88.1% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 83.4% probability
- Daniel McStay: 76.2% probability
- Bobby Hill: 69.1% probability
- Nick Daicos: 68.1% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 94.3% probability
- Jesse Hogan: 78.0% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 72.7% probability
- Brent Daniels: 70.7% probability
- Callum Brown: 63.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs GWS game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: Brownlow Predictor 2023
Collingwood vs GWS: Preview
The AFL Preliminary Final clash between the Magpies and Giants at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs GWS
- Date: Friday 22 September 2023
- Time: 7:50pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Collingwood vs GWS are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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