Collingwood vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 1 2023
Last updated: Sep 7, 2023, 9:12AM | Published: Aug 28, 2023, 11:42PM
Collingwood takes on Melbourne in AFL Finals Week 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Collingwood vs Melbourne, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
More: Brownlow Predictor
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Melbourne
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Collingwood-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model is unable to split the two teams, giving both Collingwood and Melbourne an equal 50% chance of winning in Round 25 of the AFL season.
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Collingwood vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $2.12, Melbourne $1.89
- Line: Collingwood +1.5 ($2.00), Melbourne -1.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 148.5 Points): Over $1.80, Under $2.08
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $2.12 and Melbourne at $1.89.
The Magpies are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for Collingwood vs Melbourne is set at 148.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.80 and odds for the Under at $2.08.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Magpies (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 148.5-point Over/Under has a 59% chance of going Over.
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Collingwood vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $2.12 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Line: Collingwood +1.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 148.5 at $1.80 with Betfair (59% probability)
Our Collingwood vs Melbourne betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
More: AFL Brownlow Predictor
Collingwood vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for Collingwood vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday is Demons 76-76 Magpies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Collingwood vs Melbourne on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Collingwood vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Looking for Collingwood vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Melbourne.
Mihocek has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has an 85.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 7.3% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 6.7% probability
- Daniel McStay: 5.2% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.2% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 3.6% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 6.7% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 6.1% probability
- Tom McDonald: 5.5% probability
- Christian Petracca: 4.5% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 85.5% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 83.0% probability
- Daniel McStay: 73.9% probability
- Bobby Hill: 65.4% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 64.1% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 85.1% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 78.7% probability
- Tom McDonald: 74.2% probability
- Christian Petracca: 70.6% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 65.7% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Melbourne match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: Brownlow Predictor 2023
Collingwood vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Finals clash between the Magpies and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Melbourne
- Date: Thursday 7 September 2023
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Collingwood vs Melbourne are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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