Collingwood vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2024
Last updated: Jul 28, 2024, 3:01AM | Published: Jul 21, 2024, 10:37AM
Collingwood will face Richmond in AFL Round 20 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 1:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Collingwood vs Richmond game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Collingwood vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Magpies an 81% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 20 of the 2024 AFL season.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.28, Richmond $4.50
- Line: Collingwood -23.5 ($1.89), Richmond +23.5 ($2.10)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $2.06
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $1.28 and Richmond at $4.50.
The Magpies are listed as 23.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.89 available at Betfair.
For the underdog Tigers (+23.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.10.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $2.06 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both Collingwood and Richmond have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.28 with Betfair (81% probability)
- Line: Richmond +23.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
These Collingwood vs Richmond best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Richmond at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday is Collingwood winning 96-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Collingwood vs Richmond match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Goal Kickers
Searching for Collingwood vs Richmond goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Shai Bolton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Richmond.
Bolton has a 6.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has an 86.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 6.1% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 6.0% probability
- Daniel McStay: 5.7% probability
- Bobby Hill: 5.6% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 4.0% probability
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 6.5% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 4.4% probability
- Steely Green: 3.9% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.4% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 3.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 83.8% probability
- Bobby Hill: 82.7% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 82.6% probability
- Daniel McStay: 81.3% probability
- Nick Daicos: 69.7% probability
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 86.7% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 73.2% probability
- Steely Green: 68.7% probability
- Tim Taranto: 60.4% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 57.6% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Collingwood vs Richmond match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Collingwood vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Magpies and Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Richmond
- Date: Sunday 28 July 2024
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Collingwood vs Richmond predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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