Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2024
Last updated: May 31, 2024, 9:32AM | Published: May 26, 2024, 1:36PM
Collingwood will take on the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 12 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Collingwood-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 53% chance of beating the Magpies in Round 12 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Match Centre
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $2.36, Bulldogs $1.72
- Line: Collingwood +2.5 ($2.12), Bulldogs -2.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.89
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $2.36 and the Bulldogs at $1.72.
The Magpies are 2.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $2.12 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.85.
The over/under for Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs sits at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.04 and odds for the under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Collingwood and Bulldogs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The over/under total of 168.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $2.36 with Betfair (4.8% edge) 🔥
- Line: Collingwood +2.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (57% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our recommended option because of the 4.8% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium this Friday has the Bulldogs winning 83-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Collingwood vs Bulldogs: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Collingwood vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Jamarra Ugle-Hagan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Western.
Ugle-Hagan has a 6.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 85.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Lachie Schultz: 6.3% probability
- Bobby Hill: 5.7% probability
- Ash Johnson: 5.3% probability
- Nick Daicos: 4.3% probability
- Beau McCreery: 3.9% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 6.9% probability
- Rory Lobb: 5.5% probability
- Sam Darcy: 4.7% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.6% probability
- Rhylee West: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Lachie Schultz: 83.7% probability
- Bobby Hill: 83.7% probability
- Ash Johnson: 78.8% probability
- Nick Daicos: 68.6% probability
- Beau McCreery: 66.0% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 85.8% probability
- Rory Lobb: 78.1% probability
- Sam Darcy: 74.8% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 71.8% probability
- Rhylee West: 68.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Collingwood vs Bulldogs game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Magpies and Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 31 May 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Collingwood vs Bulldogs predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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